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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-30 22:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,470 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.39 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 86,914.05 (+3.9%) | 6.3 | 0.3% | 2h | 1.3d ago · 67× | 17% ±6 | 50% ±10 | 11% ±6 | 39% ±10 | 91 | 2% ±1 | 17% ±6 | 40% ±14 | 57% ±21 | 5.0d | 1.35% | 0.85% | 889 → 21 | |
| 7D VAH | 84,536.29 (+1.1%) | 1.7 | 2.8% | 22h | 1.4d ago · 89× | 62% ±11 | 50% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 42% ±9 | 118 | 29% ±4 | 63% ±11 | 78% ±16 | 86% ±21 | 13h | 1.41% | 1.01% | 459 → 11 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 83,988.09–84,028.85 (+0.4%) | 0.7 | 4.3% | 1.7d | 5.9d ago · 116× | 84% ±8 | 43% ±8 | 10% ±5 | 47% ±8 | 153 | 66% ±4 | 84% ±8 | 94% ±9 | 97% ±11 | 1h | 1.43% | 0.98% | 449 → 11 | |
| at post · 83,648 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH · 7D VAL | 83,251.92–83,392.88 (-0.3%) | 0.5 | 2.5% | 19h | 5.9d ago · 99× | 80% ±10 | 52% ±9 | 7% ±4 | 42% ±9 | 125 | 57% ±5 | 80% ±10 | 90% ±12 | 93% ±16 | 3h | 1.48% | 1.10% | 399 → 10 | |
| LVN zone | 81,521.52–82,893.85 (-0.9%) | 1.5 | 1.2% | 8h | 7.1d ago · 46× | 65% ±16 | 42% ±12 | 13% ±8 | 45% ±12 | 61 | 33% ±6 | 65% ±16 | 86% ±20 | 94% ±21 | 11h | 1.20% | 1.19% | 217 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 82,674.58 (-1.2%) | 1.9 | 0.5% | 2h | 20.0d ago · 56× | 58% ±13 | 43% ±11 | 6% ±6 | 51% ±11 | 74 | 20% ±4 | 58% ±13 | 69% ±22 | 73% ±33 | 17h | 1.26% | 1.33% | 310 → 7 | |
| HVN zone | 81,022.49–81,272.01 (-2.8%) | 4.6 | 2.9% | 1.1d | 1.7d ago · 98× | 27% ±9 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 149 | 4% ±2 | 27% ±8 | 50% ±17 | 67% ±24 | 3.0d | 1.42% | 0.94% | 634 → 15 | |
| 30D POC | 77,217.4 (-7.7%) | 12 | 5.3% | 2.7d | 4.6d ago · 62× | 5% ±5 | 49% ±10 | 11% ±6 | 40% ±10 | 91 | 0% ±0 | 5% ±4 | 13% ±13 | 41% ±28 | > 7d | 1.53% | 0.97% | 501 → 12 | |
| 30D VAL | 74,909.4 (-10.4%) | 17 | <0.1% | 4m | 19.5d ago · 37× | 1% ±2 | 46% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 46% ±13 | 58 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 8% ±7 | 18% ±15 | > 7d | 1.41% | 1.28% | 1080 → 26 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.