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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-10 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,516 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 120,781–121,582.5 (+2.1%) | 5.6 | 0.4% | 1h | 1.9d ago · 54× | 19% ±39 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 4% ±7 | 19% ±39 | 38% | 38% | > 7d | — | — | 25 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 119,750.5 (+1.3%) | 3.3 | 1.5% | 8h | 8.1d ago · 38× | 39% ±36 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 5% ±7 | 39% ±36 | 91% ±40 | 91% | 1.2d | — | — | 40 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 119,095.42 (+0.7%) | 1.8 | 3.5% | 22h | 3.7d ago · 67× | 47% ±35 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 25% ±13 | 46% ±35 | 59% ±56 | 66% | 1.7d | — | — | 46 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 118,553.33 (+0.2%) | 0.6 | 5.4% | 1.6d | 4.0d ago · 89× | 69% ±37 | 73% ±25 | 7% ±14 | 20% ±23 | 12 | 59% ±15 | 71% ±34 | 85% ±49 | 85% | 2h | 1.59% | 0.72% | 39 → 1 | |
| at post · 118,267.8 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC | 117,861.25 (-0.3%) | 0.9 | 6.9% | 2.6d | 3.3d ago · 63× | 85% ±35 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 64% ±18 | 86% ±34 | 86% | 86% | 2h | — | — | 26 → 1 |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 116,667.01–116,675.87 (-1.3%) | 3.6 | 3.6% | 1.2d | 3.3d ago · 115× | 51% ±33 | 54% ±24 | 11% ±15 | 35% ±23 | 17 | 12% ±8 | 51% ±33 | 78% ±47 | 78% | 1.0d | 1.30% | 0.49% | 56 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 115,857.5 (-2.0%) | 5.4 | 1.7% | 5h | 22.7d ago · 37× | 27% ±43 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 6% ±9 | 24% ±37 | 28% ±62 | 28% | > 7d | — | — | 29 → 1 |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 114,429.08–114,477.46 (-3.2%) | 8.5 | 1.5% | 14h | 2.3d ago · 100× | 3% ±9 | 47% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 40% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±8 | 10% ±27 | 22% ±57 | > 7d | 1.28% | 0.76% | 86 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | POC | long | 118,267.8 | 119,750.5 | 115,857.5 | target | +2.88% |