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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-10-01 14:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,405 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.21 to 0.48) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 2,751.05 (+2.3%) | 3.7 | 1.6% | 10h | 1.7d ago · 69× | 34% ±10 | 56% ±10 | 6% ±5 | 38% ±10 | 93 | 7% ±2 | 34% ±10 | 57% ±18 | 76% ±23 | 2.3d | 2.00% | 1.22% | 539 → 13 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,707.71 (+0.7%) | 1.1 | 2.1% | 12h | 1.1d ago · 97× | 71% ±11 | 52% ±9 | 4% ±4 | 44% ±9 | 121 | 47% ±5 | 71% ±10 | 84% ±15 | 92% ±16 | 5h | 2.22% | 1.60% | 432 → 10 | |
| 7D POC | 2,688.71 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 4.4% | 2.2d | 3.1d ago · 103× | 93% ±7 | 47% ±8 | 8% ±4 | 45% ±8 | 147 | 85% ±4 | 93% ±7 | 96% ±9 | 98% ±10 | 1h | 2.08% | 1.44% | 341 → 8 | |
| at post · 2,688.62 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC | 2,686.06 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 4.4% | 2.2d | 1.4d ago · 84× | 90% ±8 | 47% ±9 | 15% ±6 | 38% ±8 | 126 | 78% ±5 | 90% ±8 | 95% ±11 | 96% ±14 | 1h | 1.86% | 1.56% | 309 → 7 | |
| 30D VAH · 7D VAL | 2,666.25–2,666.75 (-0.8%) | 1.3 | 2.6% | 18h | 4.1d ago · 84× | 65% ±11 | 51% ±9 | 10% ±5 | 39% ±9 | 121 | 40% ±4 | 64% ±11 | 79% ±16 | 85% ±21 | 8h | 2.12% | 1.34% | 469 → 11 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,639.64 (-1.8%) | 2.9 | 1.6% | 14h | 4.2d ago · 58× | 29% ±9 | 48% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 48% ±11 | 77 | 7% ±2 | 29% ±9 | 51% ±17 | 67% ±25 | 2.9d | 2.16% | 1.75% | 586 → 14 | |
| LVN zone | 2,585.46–2,612.55 (-2.8%) | 4.6 | 0.9% | 4h | 13.4d ago · 46× | 25% ±11 | 53% ±13 | 10% ±8 | 37% ±13 | 56 | 3% ±2 | 24% ±11 | 42% ±22 | 49% ±35 | > 7d | 2.37% | 1.67% | 350 → 8 | |
| HVN zone | 2,454.48–2,522.23 (-6.2%) | 10.0 | 2.1% | 23h | 1.7d ago · 84× | 5% ±5 | 47% ±8 | 23% ±7 | 30% ±8 | 134 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±5 | 16% ±13 | 26% ±25 | > 7d | 1.91% | 1.51% | 515 → 12 | |
| 30D POC | 2,506.42 (-6.8%) | 11 | 4.5% | 1.4d | 1.4d ago · 72× | 4% ±4 | 54% ±10 | 9% ±6 | 37% ±10 | 95 | 0% ±0 | 4% ±4 | 16% ±12 | 30% ±24 | > 7d | 2.14% | 1.12% | 600 → 14 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,368.67 (-11.9%) | 19 | 0.6% | 2h | 20.1d ago · 30× | 1% ±2 | 54% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 42% ±14 | 45 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 6% ±6 | 16% ±15 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.37% | 1011 → 24 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.