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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-10 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,516 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 120,781–121,582.5 (+1.8%) | 4.6 | 0.4% | 1h | 2.0d ago · 54× | 33% ±53 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 4% ±8 | 33% ±46 | 57% | 57% | 1.5d | — | — | 22 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 119,750.5 (+0.9%) | 2.4 | 1.6% | 9h | 8.2d ago · 38× | 46% ±49 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 14% ±13 | 45% ±44 | 97% ±25 | 97% | 1.0d | — | — | 27 → 1 |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 118,898.65–119,095.42 (+0.2%) | 0.6 | 4.5% | 1.3d | 3.7d ago · 89× | 65% ±35 | 75% ±24 | 6% ±13 | 19% ±21 | 13 | 53% ±15 | 67% ±35 | 79% ±57 | 80% | 4h | 1.46% | 0.72% | 43 → 1 | |
| at post · 118,636.8 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC | 118,204.75 (-0.4%) | 0.9 | 6.8% | 2.6d | 3.4d ago · 63× | 85% ±35 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 67% ±17 | 87% ±30 | 87% ±47 | 87% | 2h | — | — | 28 → 1 |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 116,652.15–116,667.01 (-1.7%) | 4.2 | 3.7% | 1.2d | 3.4d ago · 115× | 47% ±33 | 55% ±23 | 11% ±14 | 34% ±22 | 18 | 8% ±7 | 46% ±33 | 72% ±51 | 72% | 1.2d | 1.31% | 0.47% | 55 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 115,857.5 (-2.3%) | 6.0 | 1.7% | 5h | 22.7d ago · 37× | 23% ±37 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 6% ±8 | 21% ±33 | 29% ±63 | 29% | > 7d | — | — | 33 → 1 |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 114,557.08–114,601 (-3.4%) | 8.6 | 1.6% | 14h | 2.4d ago · 100× | 3% ±8 | 47% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 40% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±8 | 10% ±26 | 20% ±56 | > 7d | 1.28% | 0.76% | 92 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 118,636.8 | 116,652.15 | 119,672.23 | stop | -1.07% |