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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-11 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,516 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 120,781–121,582.5 (+1.4%) | 3.3 | 0.5% | 1h | 1.9d ago · 54× | 45% ±56 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 4% ±9 | 45% ±49 | 68% | 68% | 1.2d | — | — | 21 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 119,750.5 (+0.6%) | 1.3 | 1.8% | 10h | 8.1d ago · 38× | 38% ±67 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 23% ±25 | 38% ±67 | 92% | 92% | 1.0d | — | — | 11 → 1 |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 119,095.42–119,144.91 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 4.3% | 1.1d | 3.7d ago · 89× | 78% ±47 | 75% ±24 | 6% ±13 | 19% ±21 | 13 | 67% ±20 | 80% ±39 | 93% | 93% | 1h | 1.46% | 0.72% | 22 → 1 | |
| at post · 119,093.1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC | 118,204.75 (-0.7%) | 1.7 | 7.6% | 2.9d | 3.3d ago · 63× | 70% ±40 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 48% ±18 | 73% ±39 | 73% ±62 | 73% | 5h | — | — | 31 → 1 |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 116,667.01–116,692.6 (-2.0%) | 4.6 | 4.0% | 1.3d | 3.3d ago · 115× | 43% ±32 | 55% ±23 | 11% ±14 | 34% ±22 | 18 | 5% ±5 | 42% ±31 | 66% ±53 | 66% | 1.3d | 1.31% | 0.47% | 57 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 115,857.5 (-2.7%) | 6.3 | 1.9% | 6h | 22.7d ago · 37× | 21% ±35 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 5% ±7 | 19% ±32 | 29% ±63 | 29% | > 7d | — | — | 37 → 1 |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 114,557.08–114,654.77 (-3.7%) | 8.6 | 1.9% | 16h | 2.3d ago · 100× | 2% ±8 | 47% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 40% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±7 | 10% ±26 | 20% ±55 | > 7d | 1.28% | 0.76% | 96 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 119,093.1 | 116,692.6 | 119,953.13 | stop | +0.16% |
| 14d | VAH | short | 119,093.1 | 116,667.01 | 119,912.32 | stop | +0.16% |