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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-13 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,518 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 120,330 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 1.6% | 8h | 3.7d ago · 67× | 83% ±37 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 70% ±18 | 85% ±35 | 85% | 85% | 1h | — | — | 25 → 1 |
| at post · 120,254.6 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH · 7D VAH | 120,038.9–120,118 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 2.2% | 13h | 4.2d ago · 72× | 81% ±54 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 69% ±24 | 81% ±54 | 88% | 88% | 1h | — | — | 14 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 117,044–119,376 (-0.7%) | 1.5 | 4.1% | 1.1d | 3.7d ago · 98× | 64% ±36 | 67% ±27 | 27% ±25 | 7% ±14 | 12 | 33% ±14 | 64% ±36 | 75% ±60 | 75% | 9h | 1.31% | 0.67% | 44 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 118,263 (-1.7%) | 3.4 | 8.3% | 3.0d | 3.4d ago · 63× | 30% ±37 | 62% ±30 | 8% ±17 | 31% ±29 | 10 | 5% ±7 | 28% ±33 | 28% ±62 | 28% | > 7d | 1.43% | 0.56% | 40 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 116,511.55–116,673 (-3.0%) | 6.2 | 4.4% | 1.5d | 3.4d ago · 115× | 27% ±31 | 56% ±23 | 10% ±14 | 33% ±22 | 18 | 3% ±4 | 25% ±28 | 44% ±56 | 44% | > 7d | 1.36% | 0.40% | 54 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL · 7D VAL | 115,931.1–116,090 (-3.5%) | 7.2 | 2.2% | 9h | 1.2d ago · 101× | 7% ±13 | 47% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 40% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±2 | 7% ±12 | 17% ±30 | 19% ±55 | > 7d | 1.28% | 0.76% | 101 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 114,394 (-4.9%) | 10 | 2.0% | 21h | 1.2d ago · 58× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 4% ±14 | 15% ±40 | > 7d | — | — | 121 → 3 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | short | 120,254.6 | 116,673 | 121,398.48 | stop | +1.19% |