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TSLA · 1h · posted 2026-10-06 14:30 UTC
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TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,769 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.197, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0026), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.37 to 0.26) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 386.83 (+1.6%) | 1.4 | 0.4% | 11m | 18.4d ago · 52× | 41% ±17 | 41% ±12 | 29% ±11 | 30% ±12 | 60 | 24% ±6 | 40% ±17 | 56% ±29 | 67% ±41 | 2.9d | 2.10% | 1.20% | 194 → 5 | |
| at post · 380.81 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 378.64–380.278 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 7.1% | 13h | 5.1d ago · 68× | 79% ±16 | 31% ±10 | 34% ±10 | 34% ±10 | 87 | 62% ±8 | 79% ±16 | 88% ±23 | 92% ±30 | 1h | 1.71% | 1.13% | 144 → 3 | |
| 14D POC | 379.2542 (-0.4%) | 0.4 | 8.5% | 16h | 18.4d ago · 58× | 79% ±18 | 24% ±10 | 41% ±11 | 36% ±11 | 73 | 63% ±8 | 79% ±17 | 83% ±28 | 91% ±33 | 1h | 1.63% | 1.12% | 125 → 3 | |
| 30D VAH | 376.183 (-1.2%) | 1.1 | 4.6% | 6h | 4.3d ago · 38× | 72% ±24 | 33% ±14 | 35% ±14 | 33% ±14 | 43 | 45% ±11 | 70% ±24 | 82% ±34 | 91% ±40 | 18h | 1.55% | 1.03% | 83 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 372.844 (-2.1%) | 1.9 | 7.5% | 10h | 12.4d ago · 53× | 43% ±28 | 29% ±12 | 34% ±13 | 36% ±13 | 55 | 17% ±8 | 42% ±27 | 62% ±48 | 73% ±61 | 1.9d | 1.68% | 1.40% | 76 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 367.3787 (-3.5%) | 3.1 | 9.7% | 14h | 5.4d ago · 45× | 15% ±13 | 35% ±13 | 29% ±13 | 37% ±13 | 49 | 5% ±3 | 15% ±13 | 34% ±31 | 60% ±48 | 5.9d | 1.50% | 1.22% | 163 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL | 359.3935 (-5.6%) | 5.0 | 6.6% | 9h | 7.4d ago · 58× | 9% ±8 | 24% ±10 | 38% ±11 | 39% ±11 | 77 | 2% ±2 | 9% ±8 | 23% ±22 | 43% ±40 | > 7d | 1.77% | 1.37% | 256 → 6 | |
| 30D VAL | 355.708 (-6.6%) | 5.8 | 4.8% | 7h | 6.1d ago · 44× | 4% ±7 | 26% ±12 | 44% ±13 | 30% ±12 | 54 | 2% ±2 | 4% ±7 | 15% ±19 | 26% ±38 | > 7d | 1.71% | 1.09% | 226 → 5 | |
| 7D POC | 353.1828 (-7.3%) | 6.4 | 3.6% | 7h | 5.4d ago · 78× | 5% ±13 | 30% ±9 | 33% ±10 | 37% ±10 | 94 | 1% ±2 | 5% ±12 | 12% ±32 | 21% ±57 | > 7d | 1.75% | 1.51% | 77 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 345.88 (-9.2%) | 8.1 | 0.3% | 10m | 11.1d ago · 79× | 1% ±3 | 23% ±8 | 44% ±10 | 33% ±9 | 101 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 8% ±19 | 24% ±49 | > 7d | 1.70% | 1.06% | 138 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.