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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-10-06 18:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,404 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0037), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.23 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 2,770.78 (+3.0%) | 6.9 | 0.5% | 3h | 18.4d ago · 44× | 11% ±5 | 44% ±12 | 11% ±8 | 45% ±12 | 63 | 1% ±1 | 11% ±5 | 26% ±13 | 49% ±23 | > 7d | 1.82% | 1.50% | 764 → 18 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 2,721.32–2,721.48 (+1.2%) | 2.7 | 2.3% | 13h | 1.5d ago · 97× | 46% ±9 | 54% ±9 | 5% ±4 | 42% ±9 | 123 | 13% ±2 | 46% ±9 | 67% ±14 | 83% ±17 | 1.2d | 2.16% | 1.39% | 742 → 18 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D POC | 2,692.07–2,694.44 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 4.0% | 1.8d | 3.0d ago · 103× | 90% ±7 | 41% ±8 | 11% ±5 | 48% ±8 | 149 | 76% ±4 | 90% ±7 | 94% ±9 | 97% ±11 | 1h | 1.84% | 1.36% | 433 → 10 | |
| at post · 2,689.55 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 2,674.12 (-0.6%) | 1.3 | 2.9% | 1.1d | 4.0d ago · 84× | 62% ±11 | 56% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 36% ±8 | 123 | 37% ±4 | 62% ±11 | 78% ±16 | 85% ±21 | 9h | 2.27% | 1.25% | 476 → 11 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,666.46 (-0.9%) | 2.0 | 2.2% | 16h | 4.2d ago · 58× | 42% ±12 | 47% ±11 | 6% ±5 | 47% ±11 | 78 | 17% ±4 | 42% ±12 | 59% ±21 | 73% ±29 | 1.9d | 2.10% | 1.73% | 390 → 9 | |
| LVN zone | 2,586.38–2,608.87 (-3.0%) | 6.9 | 0.6% | 2h | 13.4d ago · 46× | 9% ±6 | 53% ±13 | 10% ±8 | 37% ±13 | 56 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±6 | 18% ±15 | 26% ±25 | > 7d | 2.37% | 1.67% | 489 → 12 | |
| HVN zone | 2,469.44–2,514.42 (-6.5%) | 15 | 2.1% | 18h | 1.7d ago · 84× | 2% ±3 | 48% ±8 | 22% ±7 | 30% ±8 | 137 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±3 | 9% ±12 | 14% ±21 | > 7d | 1.90% | 1.50% | 423 → 10 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,496.43 (-7.2%) | 16 | 2.2% | 16h | 20.0d ago · 30× | 2% ±2 | 54% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 42% ±14 | 45 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 8% ±7 | 19% ±15 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.37% | 1116 → 27 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.