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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-10-06 20:00 UTC
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S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 7,818.93 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 7,794.01–7,814.21 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 0.4% | 49m | 13.5d ago · 54× | 81% ±18 | 28% ±10 | 28% ±10 | 44% ±11 | 72 | 65% ±9 | 81% ±18 | 85% ±29 | 92% ±31 | 1h | 0.49% | 0.39% | 108 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 7,767.07–7,770.44 (-0.6%) | 2.4 | 5.7% | 7h | 4.6d ago · 62× | 30% ±19 | 26% ±9 | 26% ±9 | 49% ±10 | 95 | 11% ±5 | 30% ±19 | 50% ±37 | 67% ±53 | 3.0d | 0.43% | 0.46% | 132 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 7,769.37 (-0.6%) | 2.4 | 5.9% | 8h | 4.6d ago · 52× | 23% ±23 | 20% ±10 | 44% ±13 | 36% ±12 | 58 | 10% ±6 | 23% ±22 | 48% ±44 | 69% ±64 | 3.1d | 0.38% | 0.26% | 81 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 7,735.2 (-1.1%) | 4.1 | 2.7% | 4h | 12.6d ago · 40× | 17% ±22 | 17% ±11 | 46% ±15 | 37% ±14 | 43 | 8% ±6 | 17% ±21 | 33% ±46 | 43% ±69 | > 7d | 0.37% | 0.27% | 70 → 2 | |
| 7D POC · 30D VAH · 14D POC | 7,711.29–7,720.4 (-1.3%) | 4.8 | 5.9% | 9h | 4.6d ago · 75× | 10% ±13 | 22% ±8 | 40% ±10 | 38% ±10 | 95 | 3% ±3 | 10% ±13 | 27% ±33 | 50% ±57 | 6.9d | 0.43% | 0.34% | 125 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 7,655.5 (-2.1%) | 8.0 | 3.0% | 5h | 6.4d ago · 58× | 7% ±8 | 23% ±10 | 38% ±12 | 39% ±12 | 68 | 2% ±2 | 7% ±8 | 19% ±22 | 34% ±42 | > 7d | 0.53% | 0.46% | 208 → 5 | |
| 30D POC | 7,637.42 (-2.3%) | 8.9 | 8.3% | 12h | 4.4d ago · 48× | 8% ±11 | 29% ±12 | 31% ±12 | 40% ±13 | 59 | 3% ±3 | 8% ±11 | 24% ±30 | 38% ±48 | > 7d | 0.51% | 0.48% | 147 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL | 7,616.78 (-2.6%) | 9.9 | 2.8% | 5h | 6.4d ago · 67× | 6% ±10 | 23% ±9 | 35% ±10 | 42% ±10 | 89 | 4% ±3 | 6% ±10 | 16% ±27 | 29% ±51 | > 7d | 0.56% | 0.50% | 125 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,575.12 (-3.1%) | 12 | 1.4% | 2h | 5.6d ago · 41× | 3% ±6 | 24% ±12 | 40% ±13 | 36% ±13 | 52 | 2% ±2 | 3% ±6 | 8% ±15 | 13% ±27 | > 7d | 0.73% | 0.54% | 239 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.