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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-10-07 14:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,491 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0011), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.41 to 0.05) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 87,260.34 (+5.2%) | 11 | 0.1% | 26m | 5.9d ago · 38× | 3% ±3 | 50% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 45% ±13 | 53 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±3 | 13% ±9 | 29% ±18 | > 7d | 1.23% | 1.39% | 1025 → 24 | |
| 7D VAH | 86,704.39 (+4.5%) | 9.2 | 1.2% | 5h | 1.8d ago · 89× | 9% ±4 | 48% ±9 | 9% ±5 | 44% ±9 | 123 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±4 | 25% ±11 | 40% ±20 | > 7d | 1.37% | 1.03% | 997 → 24 | |
| 7D POC | 86,091.03 (+3.8%) | 7.7 | 2.9% | 17h | 1.6d ago · 117× | 11% ±7 | 39% ±8 | 9% ±4 | 52% ±8 | 155 | 1% ±1 | 11% ±7 | 30% ±16 | 45% ±27 | > 7d | 1.25% | 1.16% | 531 → 13 | |
| 14D VAH | 85,112.33 (+2.6%) | 5.3 | 1.9% | 11h | 1.5d ago · 67× | 22% ±7 | 48% ±10 | 10% ±6 | 41% ±10 | 94 | 2% ±1 | 22% ±7 | 47% ±14 | 63% ±21 | 3.5d | 1.35% | 0.86% | 880 → 21 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D VAL | 83,996.19–84,205.52 (+1.2%) | 2.5 | 4.5% | 1.7d | 1.3d ago · 82× | 45% ±12 | 46% ±9 | 9% ±5 | 45% ±9 | 115 | 11% ±3 | 45% ±12 | 71% ±19 | 81% ±25 | 1.2d | 1.46% | 0.86% | 371 → 9 | |
| HVN zone | 83,268.12–84,889.96 (+0.3%) | 0.7 | 2.1% | 14h | 2.8d ago · 78× | 86% ±8 | 53% ±9 | 20% ±7 | 27% ±8 | 121 | 63% ±5 | 86% ±8 | 93% ±11 | 96% ±13 | 2h | 1.52% | 1.14% | 393 → 9 | |
| at post · 82,978.1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 82,880.06 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 1.1% | 6h | 21.0d ago · 56× | 83% ±14 | 43% ±11 | 6% ±6 | 51% ±11 | 74 | 66% ±7 | 83% ±14 | 88% ±21 | 90% ±29 | 2h | 1.26% | 1.33% | 159 → 4 | |
| LVN zone | 81,521.52–82,769.09 (-0.3%) | 0.5 | 0.7% | 3h | 8.1d ago · 46× | 80% ±15 | 42% ±12 | 13% ±8 | 45% ±12 | 61 | 56% ±8 | 80% ±15 | 92% ±18 | 96% ±18 | 3h | 1.20% | 1.19% | 162 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 78,527.35 (-5.4%) | 11 | 2.0% | 14h | 20.5d ago · 37× | 4% ±3 | 46% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 46% ±13 | 58 | 0% ±0 | 4% ±3 | 12% ±8 | 25% ±17 | > 7d | 1.41% | 1.28% | 1053 → 25 | |
| HVN zone | 76,905.51–77,279.78 (-6.9%) | 14 | 2.6% | 1.7d | 1.4d ago · 98× | 4% ±5 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 152 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±5 | 22% ±18 | 38% ±32 | > 7d | 1.39% | 0.94% | 358 → 9 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.