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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-10-08 02:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,488 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0011), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.03) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 87,260.34 (+5.0%) | 11 | 0.1% | 24m | 5.8d ago · 38× | 3% ±2 | 50% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 45% ±13 | 53 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±2 | 12% ±8 | 27% ±18 | > 7d | 1.23% | 1.39% | 1023 → 24 | |
| 7D VAH | 86,704.39 (+4.3%) | 9.9 | 1.0% | 4h | 1.6d ago · 89× | 7% ±4 | 48% ±9 | 9% ±5 | 43% ±9 | 124 | 0% ±0 | 7% ±4 | 22% ±11 | 37% ±20 | > 7d | 1.37% | 1.02% | 949 → 23 | |
| 7D POC | 86,091.03 (+3.6%) | 8.2 | 2.6% | 15h | 1.5d ago · 117× | 10% ±7 | 40% ±8 | 9% ±4 | 52% ±8 | 156 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±7 | 28% ±17 | 43% ±28 | > 7d | 1.27% | 1.15% | 502 → 12 | |
| 14D VAH | 85,159.82 (+2.4%) | 5.6 | 1.8% | 11h | 1.3d ago · 67× | 21% ±7 | 48% ±10 | 10% ±6 | 41% ±10 | 94 | 2% ±1 | 21% ±7 | 45% ±14 | 62% ±21 | 3.8d | 1.35% | 0.86% | 885 → 21 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D VAL | 83,996.19–84,160.09 (+1.0%) | 2.4 | 4.1% | 1.5d | 6.8d ago · 81× | 47% ±13 | 46% ±9 | 9% ±5 | 45% ±9 | 115 | 13% ±3 | 47% ±13 | 73% ±19 | 82% ±25 | 1.1d | 1.46% | 0.86% | 368 → 9 | |
| HVN zone | 83,268.12–84,889.96 (+0.2%) | 0.4 | 2.2% | 18h | 2.6d ago · 78× | 90% ±8 | 53% ±9 | 20% ±7 | 27% ±8 | 121 | 69% ±5 | 90% ±8 | 94% ±10 | 96% ±13 | 1h | 1.52% | 1.14% | 335 → 8 | |
| at post · 83,133.1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 82,880.06 (-0.3%) | 0.7 | 1.1% | 6h | 20.8d ago · 56× | 75% ±14 | 43% ±11 | 6% ±6 | 51% ±11 | 74 | 53% ±6 | 75% ±14 | 83% ±20 | 86% ±28 | 4h | 1.26% | 1.33% | 231 → 6 | |
| LVN zone | 81,521.52–82,769.09 (-0.4%) | 1.0 | 0.6% | 3h | 8.0d ago · 46× | 73% ±15 | 42% ±12 | 13% ±8 | 45% ±12 | 61 | 48% ±7 | 73% ±14 | 89% ±18 | 97% ±15 | 5h | 1.20% | 1.19% | 219 → 5 | |
| 30D VAL | 78,527.35 (-5.5%) | 13 | 1.8% | 13h | 20.3d ago · 37× | 3% ±2 | 46% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 46% ±13 | 58 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±2 | 10% ±7 | 22% ±16 | > 7d | 1.41% | 1.28% | 1113 → 27 | |
| HVN zone | 76,905.51–77,279.78 (-7.0%) | 16 | 2.4% | 1.6d | 1.2d ago · 98× | 4% ±6 | 54% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 28% ±7 | 153 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±5 | 21% ±19 | 36% ±35 | > 7d | 1.36% | 0.94% | 311 → 7 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.