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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-20 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,516 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 121,775.11 (+7.2%) | 15 | 1.2% | 6h | 3.6d ago · 67× | 5% ±13 | 57% ±29 | 7% ±15 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 1% ±2 | 5% ±12 | 5% ±22 | 57% ±69 | 6.5d | 1.35% | 0.51% | 79 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 120,931.92 (+6.5%) | 14 | 0.8% | 2h | 3.9d ago · 89× | 7% ±19 | 67% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 28% ±23 | 15 | 2% ±4 | 6% ±17 | 9% ±33 | 42% | > 7d | 1.21% | 0.87% | 47 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 119,594.32 (+5.3%) | 11 | 2.3% | 15h | 8.1d ago · 38× | 2% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±5 | 12% ±24 | 33% ±53 | > 7d | — | — | 123 → 3 |
| 30D POC | 118,261.28 (+4.1%) | 8.6 | 6.6% | 2.3d | 3.4d ago · 71× | 2% ±11 | 31% ±29 | 23% ±26 | 46% ±31 | 10 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±10 | 7% ±30 | 82% | 5.6d | 1.14% | 0.82% | 45 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 117,619.38 (+3.6%) | 7.4 | 5.3% | 2.0d | 3.8d ago · 117× | 6% ±18 | 33% ±24 | 11% ±16 | 56% ±25 | 15 | 2% ±5 | 5% ±16 | 8% ±37 | 71% | 6.1d | 1.07% | 0.77% | 39 → 1 | |
| 14D POC | 116,535.28 (+2.6%) | 5.4 | 3.5% | 1.4d | 3.4d ago · 82× | 26% ±32 | 47% ±24 | 16% ±18 | 37% ±24 | 16 | 2% ±4 | 25% ±32 | 46% ±69 | 69% | 3.4d | 1.22% | 0.68% | 44 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 115,872.77 (+2.0%) | 4.2 | 2.3% | 9h | 1.2d ago · 51× | 30% ±40 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 3% ±6 | 29% ±40 | 40% ±68 | 97% | 3.9d | — | — | 31 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 114,896.94–115,531.72 (+1.2%) | 2.4 | 3.3% | 1.0d | 1.1d ago · 80× | 57% ±40 | 38% ±30 | 15% ±22 | 46% ±31 | 10 | 10% ±9 | 52% ±37 | 78% ±57 | 98% | 21h | 1.20% | 1.07% | 39 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAL | 114,547.75–114,769.99 (+0.9%) | 1.8 | 2.0% | 17h | 1.1d ago · 77× | 67% ±46 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 19% ±15 | 64% ±47 | 79% | 96% | 15h | — | — | 25 → 1 |
| at post · 113,579.2 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.