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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-23 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,518 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 121,703.27 (+5.9%) | 15 | 1.1% | 5h | 3.8d ago · 67× | 4% ±10 | 57% ±29 | 7% ±15 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±10 | 4% ±17 | 44% ±69 | > 7d | 1.35% | 0.51% | 98 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 121,057.28–121,186.48 (+5.3%) | 14 | 0.7% | 2h | 2.1d ago · 54× | 2% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 21% ±40 | 62% ±67 | 5.9d | — | — | 67 → 2 |
| 30D VAH | 119,119.33 (+3.6%) | 9.3 | 2.0% | 14h | 8.2d ago · 38× | 2% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±6 | 11% ±21 | 28% ±51 | > 7d | — | — | 144 → 3 |
| 14D POC | 118,537.94 (+3.1%) | 8.0 | 3.3% | 1.1d | 3.6d ago · 82× | 5% ±14 | 50% ±24 | 15% ±17 | 35% ±23 | 17 | 2% ±3 | 5% ±14 | 34% ±54 | 85% | 4.6d | 1.35% | 0.68% | 58 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 118,150.35 (+2.8%) | 7.1 | 4.1% | 1.7d | 3.6d ago · 71× | 9% ±17 | 31% ±29 | 23% ±26 | 46% ±31 | 10 | 3% ±4 | 9% ±16 | 15% ±35 | 79% ±56 | 5.8d | 1.14% | 0.82% | 69 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 116,276.99–116,793.78 (+1.1%) | 2.9 | 2.6% | 15h | 1.3d ago · 80× | 53% ±33 | 47% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 40% ±28 | 12 | 11% ±9 | 53% ±33 | 79% ±46 | 98% | 22h | 1.60% | 1.07% | 52 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 115,785.16 (+0.7%) | 1.8 | 2.4% | 11h | 4.1d ago · 89× | 61% ±29 | 63% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 32% ±23 | 16 | 28% ±11 | 60% ±29 | 76% ±42 | 77% ±58 | 17h | 1.33% | 0.91% | 65 → 2 | |
| at post · 114,967.8 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 114,597.43 (-0.3%) | 0.8 | 2.1% | 16h | 1.2d ago · 58× | 73% ±43 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 47% ±18 | 77% ±37 | 83% ±52 | 93% | 5h | — | — | 28 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 113,693.05 (-1.1%) | 2.9 | 2.7% | 1.1d | 22.8d ago · 37× | 15% ±31 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 8% ±9 | 13% ±27 | 37% ±67 | 55% | 6.1d | — | — | 36 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 113,563.86–113,693.05 (-1.1%) | 2.9 | 2.7% | 1.1d | 3.7d ago · 98× | 56% ±32 | 55% ±24 | 30% ±22 | 15% ±17 | 17 | 15% ±9 | 55% ±32 | 68% ±53 | 68% | 21h | 1.26% | 0.69% | 53 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 113,254.94 (-1.5%) | 3.8 | 2.4% | 15h | 3.6d ago · 115× | 35% ±27 | 50% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 41% ±22 | 19 | 6% ±5 | 33% ±26 | 56% ±49 | 76% ±60 | 1.9d | 1.31% | 0.51% | 79 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 112,111.15 (-2.5%) | 6.4 | 0.5% | 3h | 1.2d ago · 101× | 12% ±15 | 50% ±24 | 15% ±17 | 35% ±23 | 17 | 3% ±3 | 11% ±14 | 22% ±33 | 39% ±55 | > 7d | 1.28% | 0.51% | 115 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | long | 114,967.8 | 118,537.94 | 113,318.38 | expired | -0.62% |