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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-24 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,518 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 121,703.27 (+5.7%) | 21 | 0.8% | 3h | 3.8d ago · 67× | 2% ±8 | 57% ±29 | 7% ±15 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±7 | 2% ±12 | 32% ±65 | > 7d | 1.35% | 0.51% | 64 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 121,057.28–121,186.48 (+5.1%) | 19 | 0.5% | 1h | 2.1d ago · 54× | 2% ±11 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±10 | 18% ±43 | 70% | 5.6d | — | — | 47 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 119,119.33 (+3.5%) | 13 | 1.3% | 8h | 8.3d ago · 38× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±4 | 7% ±19 | 27% ±50 | > 7d | — | — | 133 → 3 |
| 14D POC | 118,667.14 (+3.1%) | 11 | 2.1% | 16h | 3.7d ago · 82× | 5% ±17 | 50% ±24 | 15% ±17 | 35% ±23 | 17 | 2% ±5 | 5% ±16 | 19% ±55 | 92% | 4.9d | 1.35% | 0.68% | 41 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 117,891.95 (+2.4%) | 8.9 | 2.7% | 23h | 3.7d ago · 71× | 2% ±8 | 31% ±29 | 23% ±26 | 46% ±31 | 10 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±7 | 5% ±21 | 79% ±56 | 5.9d | 1.14% | 0.82% | 64 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 117,032.94 (+1.6%) | 6.1 | 1.5% | 10h | 4.2d ago · 89× | 21% ±18 | 63% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 32% ±23 | 16 | 3% ±3 | 21% ±18 | 54% ±40 | 58% ±56 | 2.5d | 1.33% | 0.91% | 112 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 116,276.99–116,793.78 (+1.0%) | 3.7 | 1.7% | 10h | 1.3d ago · 80× | 53% ±37 | 47% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 40% ±28 | 12 | 10% ±9 | 53% ±35 | 80% ±45 | 98% | 22h | 1.60% | 1.07% | 46 → 1 | |
| at post · 115,140 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 115,126.61 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 2.5% | 19h | 3.7d ago · 115× | 92% ±22 | 50% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 41% ±22 | 19 | 82% ±13 | 92% ±22 | 92% ±37 | 92% | 1h | 1.31% | 0.51% | 36 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 114,597.43 (-0.5%) | 1.8 | 1.5% | 11h | 1.3d ago · 58× | 71% ±40 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 24% ±13 | 73% ±33 | 87% ±47 | 98% | 14h | — | — | 40 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 113,693.05 (-1.3%) | 4.7 | 1.9% | 18h | 22.9d ago · 37× | 11% ±20 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 6% ±6 | 11% ±18 | 31% ±45 | 54% ±69 | 6.3d | — | — | 65 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 113,434.66–113,693.05 (-1.3%) | 4.7 | 1.9% | 18h | 3.8d ago · 98× | 36% ±33 | 52% ±23 | 29% ±21 | 19% ±18 | 18 | 6% ±7 | 36% ±33 | 44% ±56 | 44% | > 7d | 1.12% | 0.77% | 48 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 113,220.28 (-1.7%) | 6.2 | 1.6% | 10h | 1.3d ago · 101× | 14% ±16 | 50% ±24 | 15% ±17 | 35% ±23 | 17 | 2% ±3 | 13% ±15 | 24% ±32 | 41% ±56 | > 7d | 1.28% | 0.51% | 120 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 115,140 | 117,032.94 | 113,220.28 | stop | -2.10% |