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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-25 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,516 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 119,342.81–119,483.42 (+6.0%) | 10 | 2.4% | 16h | 3.6d ago · 67× | 5% ±9 | 57% ±29 | 7% ±15 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 1% ±2 | 5% ±9 | 12% ±22 | 35% ±47 | > 7d | 1.35% | 0.51% | 149 → 4 | |
| 30D POC | 118,147.57 (+4.9%) | 8.5 | 5.9% | 2.3d | 3.4d ago · 71× | 2% ±7 | 31% ±29 | 23% ±26 | 46% ±31 | 10 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 5% ±21 | 75% ±60 | 6.1d | 1.14% | 0.82% | 69 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 115,461.65 (+2.5%) | 4.4 | 3.5% | 21h | 3.9d ago · 89× | 29% ±19 | 63% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 32% ±23 | 16 | 6% ±4 | 29% ±19 | 67% ±35 | 71% ±52 | 1.8d | 1.33% | 0.91% | 125 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 113,718.17 (+1.0%) | 1.7 | 4.3% | 1.6d | 23.6d ago · 35× | 67% ±38 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 19% ±13 | 68% ±37 | 97% ±22 | 97% | 13h | — | — | 35 → 1 |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 113,353.06–113,366.63 (+0.7%) | 1.2 | 4.1% | 1.2d | 3.4d ago · 117× | 76% ±24 | 44% ±24 | 13% ±16 | 44% ±24 | 17 | 53% ±11 | 75% ±25 | 89% ±30 | 91% ±39 | 3h | 1.32% | 0.75% | 74 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 113,296.32–113,999.4 (+0.6%) | 1.1 | 3.9% | 1.1d | 1.1d ago · 80× | 70% ±30 | 47% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 40% ±28 | 12 | 50% ±13 | 71% ±30 | 82% ±43 | 98% | 4h | 1.60% | 1.07% | 54 → 1 | |
| at post · 112,598.8 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 112,171.39–112,281.48 (-0.3%) | 0.5 | 1.4% | 8h | 2.3d ago · 100× | 78% ±27 | 50% ±24 | 15% ±17 | 35% ±23 | 17 | 58% ±13 | 79% ±26 | 86% ±39 | 93% | 3h | 1.28% | 0.51% | 55 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 112,598.8 | 112,281.48 | 115,461.65 | target | +3.15% |
| 14d | POC | short | 112,598.8 | 112,171.39 | 119,342.81 | target | +3.15% |