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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-25 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,516 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 119,483.42 (+7.3%) | 11 | 2.7% | 18h | 8.1d ago · 38× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±4 | 10% ±20 | 26% ±43 | > 7d | — | — | 151 → 4 |
| 14D VAH | 119,061.58 (+6.9%) | 10 | 3.8% | 1.2d | 3.6d ago · 67× | 9% ±12 | 57% ±29 | 7% ±15 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 2% ±2 | 9% ±12 | 15% ±27 | 44% ±56 | > 7d | 1.35% | 0.51% | 130 → 3 | |
| 30D POC | 118,147.57 (+6.1%) | 8.8 | 6.8% | 2.7d | 3.5d ago · 71× | 1% ±7 | 31% ±29 | 23% ±26 | 46% ±31 | 10 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 5% ±21 | 72% ±63 | 6.1d | 1.14% | 0.82% | 71 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 115,392.51 (+3.6%) | 5.3 | 4.4% | 1.2d | 4.0d ago · 89× | 23% ±18 | 65% ±23 | 5% ±10 | 30% ±22 | 17 | 4% ±3 | 22% ±17 | 60% ±36 | 64% ±54 | 2.2d | 1.46% | 0.87% | 130 → 3 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D VAL | 113,353.06–113,577.55 (+1.8%) | 2.6 | 4.9% | 1.5d | 3.5d ago · 117× | 51% ±33 | 44% ±24 | 13% ±16 | 44% ±24 | 17 | 14% ±9 | 51% ±33 | 73% ±50 | 77% | 1.1d | 1.32% | 0.75% | 54 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 113,155.7–113,858.78 (+1.6%) | 2.3 | 4.2% | 1.1d | 1.1d ago · 80× | 55% ±33 | 47% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 40% ±28 | 12 | 11% ±9 | 55% ±33 | 75% ±49 | 98% | 18h | 1.60% | 1.07% | 51 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 112,030.78–112,212.35 (+0.6%) | 0.9 | 1.2% | 5h | 1.1d ago · 77× | 75% ±42 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 52% ±19 | 76% ±37 | 82% ±53 | 96% | 4h | — | — | 27 → 1 |
| at post · 111,362.1 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.