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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-28 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,516 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 120,708.98–120,868.84 (+6.9%) | 12 | 1.0% | 3h | 1.9d ago · 54× | 1% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 18% ±38 | 55% ±69 | 6.4d | — | — | 70 → 2 |
| 30D VAH | 118,790.68 (+5.2%) | 9.0 | 3.4% | 1.2d | 8.1d ago · 38× | 2% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±5 | 11% ±21 | 25% ±42 | > 7d | — | — | 168 → 4 |
| 14D VAH | 117,483.15 (+4.0%) | 7.0 | 3.9% | 1.6d | 3.6d ago · 67× | 16% ±16 | 57% ±29 | 7% ±15 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 2% ±2 | 16% ±16 | 33% ±38 | 52% ±57 | 5.0d | 1.35% | 0.51% | 115 → 3 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 115,033.99–115,069.43 (+1.9%) | 3.2 | 4.7% | 1.7d | 3.5d ago · 82× | 35% ±28 | 45% ±23 | 17% ±18 | 38% ±22 | 18 | 8% ±6 | 34% ±27 | 57% ±49 | 65% ±66 | 1.7d | 1.37% | 0.67% | 72 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 113,685.57 (+0.7%) | 1.2 | 4.1% | 1.7d | 4.0d ago · 89× | 65% ±28 | 65% ±23 | 5% ±10 | 30% ±22 | 17 | 45% ±12 | 65% ±28 | 77% ±41 | 77% ±58 | 10h | 1.46% | 0.87% | 63 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 113,195.61–114,154.77 (+0.2%) | 0.4 | 3.5% | 24h | 1.1d ago · 80× | 77% ±29 | 50% ±27 | 13% ±18 | 38% ±26 | 13 | 63% ±14 | 78% ±29 | 88% ±37 | 98% | 1h | 1.65% | 1.00% | 47 → 1 | |
| at post · 112,931.2 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 30D VAL | 112,236.46–112,404.1 (-0.5%) | 0.8 | 2.4% | 15h | 3.5d ago · 115× | 87% ±20 | 48% ±22 | 9% ±12 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 69% ±11 | 87% ±20 | 93% ±25 | 93% ±36 | 2h | 1.28% | 0.51% | 67 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 110,753.99 (-1.9%) | 3.3 | 0.9% | 4h | 2.3d ago · 57× | 34% ±27 | 29% ±27 | 14% ±21 | 57% ±29 | 11 | 11% ±7 | 36% ±27 | 65% ±47 | 80% ±55 | 1.8d | 0.60% | 1.35% | 73 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 110,318.15–110,637.87 (-2.0%) | 3.5 | 0.8% | 3h | 1.3d ago · 47× | 24% ±23 | 50% ±30 | 21% ±24 | 29% ±27 | 11 | 7% ±6 | 26% ±23 | 51% ±44 | 82% ±53 | 2.8d | 1.13% | 0.82% | 82 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 109,443.47 (-3.1%) | 5.4 | 0.7% | 3h | 3.2d ago · 100× | 22% ±18 | 48% ±23 | 14% ±16 | 38% ±22 | 18 | 5% ±4 | 22% ±18 | 37% ±36 | 53% ±56 | 5.9d | 1.28% | 0.55% | 126 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 112,931.2 | 113,685.57 | 109,443.47 | expired | -1.31% |
| 30d | VAL | long | 112,931.2 | 115,033.99 | 111,056.7 | expired | -1.31% |