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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-28 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,516 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 120,708.98–120,868.84 (+6.6%) | 12 | 0.9% | 3h | 1.9d ago · 54× | 1% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 18% ±38 | 54% ±69 | 6.6d | — | — | 73 → 2 |
| 30D VAH | 118,790.68 (+5.0%) | 8.7 | 3.0% | 24h | 8.1d ago · 38× | 2% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±6 | 13% ±21 | 26% ±43 | > 7d | — | — | 172 → 4 |
| 14D VAH | 117,055.52 (+3.4%) | 6.0 | 2.9% | 20h | 3.6d ago · 67× | 17% ±18 | 57% ±29 | 7% ±15 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 2% ±3 | 17% ±17 | 41% ±39 | 54% ±56 | 4.6d | 1.35% | 0.51% | 106 → 3 | |
| 30D POC | 115,033.99 (+1.6%) | 2.9 | 4.7% | 1.7d | 3.5d ago · 71× | 41% ±36 | 31% ±29 | 23% ±26 | 46% ±31 | 10 | 12% ±10 | 41% ±36 | 63% ±67 | 63% | 1.3d | 1.14% | 0.82% | 41 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 114,314.62–115,433.64 (+1.0%) | 1.8 | 3.5% | 1.3d | 1.1d ago · 80× | 56% ±31 | 50% ±27 | 13% ±18 | 38% ±26 | 13 | 25% ±11 | 58% ±29 | 81% ±38 | 98% ±17 | 17h | 1.65% | 1.00% | 63 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 113,508.81 (+0.3%) | 0.5 | 4.2% | 1.6d | 4.0d ago · 89× | 78% ±29 | 65% ±23 | 5% ±10 | 30% ±22 | 17 | 62% ±13 | 76% ±29 | 89% ±35 | 89% | 2h | 1.46% | 0.87% | 50 → 1 | |
| at post · 113,187.6 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC | 113,022.69 (-0.1%) | 0.3 | 3.7% | 1.1d | 3.3d ago · 85× | 95% ±17 | 58% ±24 | 11% ±15 | 32% ±23 | 16 | 68% ±15 | 95% ±17 | 98% ±22 | 98% | 1h | 1.29% | 0.47% | 38 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 30D VAL | 112,236.46–112,404.1 (-0.7%) | 1.2 | 2.4% | 15h | 3.5d ago · 115× | 79% ±24 | 48% ±22 | 9% ±12 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 55% ±12 | 77% ±25 | 87% ±33 | 90% ±41 | 4h | 1.28% | 0.51% | 68 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 110,818.08 (-2.1%) | 3.7 | 1.0% | 5h | 2.3d ago · 57× | 26% ±24 | 33% ±27 | 13% ±19 | 53% ±28 | 12 | 8% ±6 | 28% ±23 | 55% ±44 | 71% ±63 | 2.4d | 0.63% | 1.33% | 82 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 110,318.15–110,637.87 (-2.3%) | 4.0 | 0.8% | 3h | 1.3d ago · 47× | 24% ±21 | 50% ±30 | 21% ±24 | 29% ±27 | 11 | 6% ±5 | 25% ±21 | 52% ±40 | 79% ±57 | 2.8d | 1.13% | 0.82% | 99 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 109,443.47 (-3.3%) | 5.8 | 0.7% | 3h | 3.2d ago · 100× | 18% ±17 | 50% ±22 | 14% ±15 | 36% ±22 | 19 | 4% ±3 | 18% ±16 | 33% ±35 | 48% ±57 | > 7d | 1.28% | 0.51% | 129 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | long | 113,187.6 | 117,055.52 | 110,818.08 | stop | -2.23% |