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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-09-04 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,516 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 120,385.42–121,425.46 (+8.6%) | 18 | 1.0% | 3h | 1.9d ago · 54× | 1% ±6 | 38% ±30 | 15% ±22 | 46% ±31 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 13% ±30 | 46% ±69 | > 7d | 2.03% | 0.82% | 82 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 117,438.62 (+5.9%) | 12 | 2.2% | 23h | 8.1d ago · 38× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±2 | 6% ±14 | 19% ±34 | > 7d | — | — | 191 → 5 |
| 14D VAH | 113,221.18 (+2.1%) | 4.3 | 2.6% | 18h | 3.6d ago · 67× | 21% ±21 | 57% ±29 | 7% ±15 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 4% ±4 | 20% ±20 | 51% ±44 | 59% ±68 | 2.8d | 1.35% | 0.51% | 94 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 112,238.39–113,798.46 (+1.2%) | 2.5 | 2.3% | 15h | 1.1d ago · 80× | 45% ±28 | 53% ±26 | 12% ±17 | 35% ±25 | 14 | 11% ±7 | 48% ±27 | 75% ±43 | 89% ±44 | 1.1d | 1.65% | 0.97% | 77 → 2 | |
| 14D POC · 7D VAH · 30D POC | 111,234.93–111,285.01 (+0.3%) | 0.7 | 2.6% | 20h | 3.4d ago · 89× | 78% ±26 | 53% ±22 | 14% ±16 | 33% ±21 | 19 | 59% ±12 | 78% ±24 | 88% ±32 | 89% ±44 | 2h | 1.47% | 0.66% | 65 → 2 | |
| at post · 110,870.8 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL · 7D POC | 108,423.91–108,535.67 (-2.1%) | 4.3 | 2.1% | 23h | 2.3d ago · 115× | 29% ±22 | 44% ±20 | 9% ±12 | 46% ±20 | 23 | 7% ±5 | 29% ±21 | 55% ±40 | 72% ±62 | 2.6d | 1.06% | 0.82% | 103 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL · 7D VAL | 107,833.25–108,078.21 (-2.5%) | 5.2 | 1.1% | 7h | 3.1d ago · 100× | 20% ±16 | 54% ±21 | 13% ±14 | 33% ±20 | 21 | 4% ±3 | 19% ±16 | 39% ±34 | 57% ±56 | 5.4d | 1.38% | 0.57% | 142 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 110,870.8 | 108,423.91 | 111,868.41 | expired | -0.47% |