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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-09-06 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,516 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 120,385.42–121,425.46 (+8.7%) | 15 | 1.1% | 4h | 1.9d ago · 54× | 1% ±5 | 38% ±30 | 15% ±22 | 46% ±31 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 14% ±28 | 44% ±69 | > 7d | 2.03% | 0.82% | 100 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 117,265.28 (+5.9%) | 10 | 2.5% | 22h | 8.1d ago · 38× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 7% ±15 | 19% ±34 | > 7d | — | — | 200 → 5 |
| HVN zone | 116,225.23–116,918.6 (+5.0%) | 8.5 | 2.2% | 14h | 1.1d ago · 80× | 3% ±15 | 53% ±24 | 11% ±15 | 37% ±24 | 16 | 3% ±6 | 3% ±15 | 42% ±68 | 94% | 3.6d | 1.60% | 1.07% | 31 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 112,976.33–112,984.34 (+2.0%) | 3.5 | 3.3% | 24h | 3.6d ago · 89× | 26% ±19 | 58% ±21 | 8% ±12 | 34% ±20 | 21 | 6% ±4 | 28% ±19 | 61% ±36 | 66% ±53 | 2.0d | 1.26% | 0.75% | 127 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 111,011.95–111,285.01 (+0.3%) | 0.4 | 3.6% | 1.1d | 3.4d ago · 82× | 82% ±27 | 45% ±21 | 16% ±16 | 39% ±21 | 21 | 64% ±14 | 83% ±26 | 92% ±31 | 93% | 2h | 1.44% | 0.74% | 48 → 1 | |
| at post · 110,729.4 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 110,615.2 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 3.2% | 22h | 3.5d ago · 115× | 90% ±21 | 50% ±20 | 8% ±11 | 42% ±20 | 23 | 74% ±12 | 90% ±21 | 92% ±31 | 92% | 1h | 1.31% | 0.51% | 48 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 109,039.57–109,051.34 (-1.5%) | 2.6 | 1.8% | 15h | 2.3d ago · 100× | 52% ±22 | 47% ±21 | 12% ±14 | 41% ±21 | 21 | 15% ±7 | 51% ±22 | 68% ±37 | 77% ±48 | 23h | 1.08% | 0.88% | 111 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 108,078.21 (-2.4%) | 4.1 | 1.3% | 9h | 22.6d ago · 37× | 16% ±20 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 5% ±5 | 15% ±20 | 40% ±48 | 60% ±68 | 5.6d | — | — | 78 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 110,729.4 | 112,976.33 | 109,051.34 | expired | -0.38% |