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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-09-06 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,516 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 117,438.62 (+5.9%) | 12 | 2.2% | 23h | 8.0d ago · 38× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 6% ±14 | 18% ±34 | > 7d | — | — | 206 → 5 |
| HVN zone | 116,225.23–116,918.6 (+4.8%) | 9.5 | 1.9% | 12h | 1.1d ago · 80× | 3% ±15 | 53% ±24 | 11% ±15 | 37% ±24 | 16 | 3% ±6 | 3% ±13 | 39% ±67 | 94% | 3.6d | 1.60% | 1.07% | 33 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 114,145.14–114,318.48 (+2.9%) | 5.8 | 0.9% | 6h | 1.9d ago · 54× | 29% ±33 | 38% ±30 | 15% ±22 | 46% ±31 | 10 | 7% ±8 | 29% ±33 | 50% ±69 | 55% | 2.9d | 2.03% | 0.82% | 40 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 112,937.32–112,976.33 (+1.8%) | 3.6 | 2.9% | 21h | 3.6d ago · 89× | 28% ±18 | 57% ±21 | 8% ±11 | 36% ±20 | 21 | 6% ±4 | 28% ±18 | 62% ±34 | 67% ±53 | 1.9d | 1.27% | 0.76% | 137 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 111,014.47–111,285.01 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 3.2% | 1.0d | 3.4d ago · 82× | 87% ±25 | 45% ±21 | 16% ±16 | 39% ±21 | 21 | 70% ±13 | 88% ±23 | 93% ±28 | 95% | 2h | 1.44% | 0.74% | 46 → 1 | |
| at post · 110,906.5 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 110,799.19 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 3.0% | 1.0d | 3.5d ago · 115× | 90% ±21 | 50% ±20 | 8% ±11 | 42% ±20 | 23 | 75% ±12 | 91% ±19 | 92% ±30 | 92% | 1h | 1.31% | 0.51% | 51 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 109,091.62–109,235.32 (-1.5%) | 3.0 | 1.6% | 10h | 2.3d ago · 100× | 42% ±22 | 47% ±21 | 12% ±14 | 41% ±21 | 21 | 11% ±5 | 42% ±22 | 60% ±36 | 73% ±50 | 1.6d | 1.08% | 0.88% | 121 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 108,078.21 (-2.6%) | 5.1 | 1.1% | 7h | 22.6d ago · 37× | 17% ±19 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 3% ±4 | 16% ±19 | 39% ±43 | 61% ±68 | 5.4d | — | — | 92 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 110,906.5 | 112,976.33 | 109,235.32 | expired | +0.10% |