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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-09-07 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,512 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.09) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 117,438.62 (+5.7%) | 25 | 0.9% | 10h | 8.0d ago · 38× | 1% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±11 | 12% ±45 | > 7d | — | — | 75 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 117,438.62–117,611.96 (+5.7%) | 25 | 0.9% | 10h | 2.2d ago · 79× | building | 53% ±24 | 11% ±15 | 37% ±24 | 16 | building | building | building | building | — | 1.60% | 1.07% | 7 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 114,145.14–114,318.48 (+2.8%) | 12 | 0.4% | 3h | 1.8d ago · 54× | 1% ±5 | 38% ±30 | 15% ±22 | 46% ±31 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 14% ±27 | 42% ±68 | > 7d | 2.03% | 0.82% | 104 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 112,757.88 (+1.5%) | 6.5 | 1.3% | 7h | 3.5d ago · 67× | 16% ±16 | 53% ±28 | 7% ±14 | 40% ±28 | 12 | 2% ±2 | 16% ±15 | 38% ±36 | 51% ±57 | 5.1d | 1.38% | 0.58% | 131 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 112,485.71 (+1.3%) | 5.4 | 1.3% | 8h | 3.8d ago · 89× | 20% ±15 | 58% ±21 | 8% ±12 | 33% ±20 | 21 | 3% ±3 | 19% ±14 | 48% ±31 | 55% ±49 | 3.4d | 1.21% | 0.87% | 171 → 4 | |
| 30D POC | 111,285.01 (+0.2%) | 0.8 | 1.6% | 12h | 3.3d ago · 71× | 82% ±27 | 33% ±27 | 20% ±23 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 54% ±14 | 83% ±26 | 94% ±26 | 94% | 3h | 1.15% | 0.82% | 50 → 1 | |
| 14D POC | 111,101.67 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 1.7% | 15h | 3.3d ago · 82× | 90% ±22 | 52% ±21 | 16% ±15 | 32% ±19 | 22 | 86% ±11 | 91% ±22 | 93% ±35 | 95% | 1h | 1.50% | 0.62% | 41 → 1 | |
| at post · 111,074.3 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 110,799.19 (-0.2%) | 1.1 | 1.6% | 16h | 3.4d ago · 115× | 84% ±20 | 48% ±20 | 11% ±13 | 41% ±20 | 24 | 60% ±11 | 84% ±20 | 91% ±28 | 91% ±39 | 2h | 1.28% | 0.60% | 78 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 109,291.39–109,357.98 (-1.5%) | 6.6 | 0.8% | 4h | 2.2d ago · 100× | 10% ±12 | 47% ±21 | 12% ±14 | 41% ±21 | 21 | 1% ±2 | 10% ±11 | 24% ±28 | 42% ±48 | > 7d | 1.08% | 0.88% | 154 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 108,078.21 (-2.7%) | 12 | 0.5% | 3h | 22.5d ago · 37× | 9% ±12 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 9% ±12 | 12% ±24 | 25% ±49 | > 7d | — | — | 132 → 3 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | short | 111,074.3 | 109,291.39 | 112,757.88 | expired | -0.82% |