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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-09-08 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,512 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.09) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 117,438.62 (+6.0%) | 22 | 1.1% | 11h | 8.0d ago · 38× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±8 | 17% ±52 | > 7d | — | — | 101 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 117,438.62–117,611.96 (+6.0%) | 22 | 1.1% | 11h | 2.2d ago · 79× | building | 53% ±24 | 11% ±15 | 37% ±24 | 16 | 6% ±13 | 6% ±34 | 41% | 94% | 3.1d | 1.60% | 1.07% | 14 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 114,145.14–114,318.48 (+3.0%) | 11 | 0.5% | 3h | 1.8d ago · 54× | 2% ±7 | 38% ±30 | 15% ±22 | 46% ±31 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±7 | 15% ±28 | 41% ±68 | > 7d | 2.03% | 0.82% | 103 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 112,485.71–112,531.63 (+1.5%) | 5.7 | 1.5% | 9h | 3.5d ago · 89× | 18% ±14 | 57% ±21 | 8% ±11 | 36% ±20 | 21 | 2% ±2 | 18% ±14 | 44% ±31 | 53% ±49 | 5.7d | 1.27% | 0.76% | 172 → 4 | |
| 30D POC | 111,285.01 (+0.4%) | 1.7 | 2.0% | 17h | 3.3d ago · 71× | 63% ±36 | 33% ±27 | 20% ±23 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 30% ±14 | 65% ±35 | 85% ±50 | 85% | 14h | 1.15% | 0.82% | 44 → 1 | |
| 14D POC | 111,089.43 (+0.3%) | 1.0 | 2.2% | 21h | 3.3d ago · 82× | 79% ±23 | 52% ±21 | 16% ±15 | 32% ±19 | 22 | 64% ±11 | 79% ±23 | 88% ±32 | 90% ±41 | 2h | 1.50% | 0.62% | 71 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 110,799.19 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 1.9% | 19h | 3.7d ago · 117× | 84% ±24 | 42% ±21 | 13% ±14 | 46% ±21 | 21 | 71% ±12 | 84% ±24 | 91% ±32 | 95% | 1h | 1.53% | 0.75% | 56 → 1 | |
| at post · 110,786.5 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 109,664.62 (-1.0%) | 3.8 | 1.1% | 5h | 3.1d ago · 100× | 33% ±18 | 54% ±21 | 13% ±14 | 33% ±20 | 21 | 7% ±4 | 33% ±18 | 48% ±35 | 59% ±48 | 3.3d | 1.38% | 0.57% | 148 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL | 109,262.64 (-1.4%) | 5.1 | 0.9% | 5h | 2.2d ago · 57× | 14% ±15 | 35% ±25 | 12% ±17 | 53% ±26 | 14 | 4% ±3 | 13% ±14 | 33% ±35 | 49% ±57 | > 7d | 0.65% | 1.33% | 133 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 108,078.21 (-2.4%) | 9.1 | 0.6% | 3h | 22.6d ago · 37× | 11% ±14 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 2% ±2 | 11% ±13 | 17% ±28 | 35% ±54 | > 7d | — | — | 128 → 3 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 110,786.5 | 109,664.62 | 112,485.71 | stop | -0.73% |