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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-09-08 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,516 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 117,438.62 (+5.2%) | 17 | 1.2% | 13h | 8.1d ago · 38× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 2% ±10 | 17% ±37 | > 7d | — | — | 166 → 4 |
| HVN zone | 117,438.62–117,611.96 (+5.2%) | 17 | 1.2% | 13h | 1.2d ago · 80× | 7% ±35 | 53% ±24 | 11% ±15 | 37% ±24 | 16 | 5% ±10 | 5% ±24 | 50% | 95% | 2.9d | 1.60% | 1.07% | 19 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 114,145.14–114,318.48 (+2.2%) | 7.4 | 0.6% | 3h | 2.0d ago · 54× | 14% ±24 | 38% ±30 | 15% ±22 | 46% ±31 | 10 | 4% ±6 | 14% ±24 | 36% ±54 | 45% | > 7d | 2.03% | 0.82% | 48 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 112,393.21–112,496.38 (+0.7%) | 2.2 | 1.8% | 12h | 3.7d ago · 89× | 41% ±24 | 57% ±21 | 8% ±11 | 36% ±20 | 21 | 17% ±8 | 41% ±24 | 61% ±43 | 67% ±65 | 1.6d | 1.27% | 0.76% | 98 → 2 | |
| at post · 111,640 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC | 111,285.01 (-0.3%) | 1.0 | 2.4% | 20h | 3.3d ago · 63× | 86% ±24 | 59% ±26 | 12% ±17 | 29% ±24 | 14 | 65% ±13 | 86% ±24 | 90% ±34 | 90% | 2h | 1.19% | 0.98% | 49 → 1 | |
| 14D POC | 111,097.44 (-0.5%) | 1.6 | 2.6% | 1.1d | 3.3d ago · 85× | 79% ±25 | 50% ±22 | 14% ±15 | 36% ±22 | 19 | 44% ±13 | 79% ±25 | 89% ±36 | 94% | 6h | 1.10% | 0.68% | 60 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 110,817.97 (-0.7%) | 2.4 | 2.3% | 22h | 3.6d ago · 115× | 59% ±27 | 48% ±20 | 11% ±13 | 41% ±20 | 24 | 26% ±10 | 60% ±27 | 80% ±39 | 88% ±44 | 14h | 1.28% | 0.60% | 78 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 109,956.05 (-1.5%) | 5.0 | 1.5% | 10h | 3.2d ago · 100× | 23% ±16 | 54% ±21 | 13% ±14 | 33% ±20 | 21 | 4% ±3 | 22% ±16 | 38% ±32 | 53% ±49 | 5.9d | 1.38% | 0.57% | 164 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL | 109,263.28 (-2.1%) | 7.0 | 1.0% | 6h | 2.3d ago · 57× | 5% ±9 | 35% ±25 | 12% ±17 | 53% ±26 | 14 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±9 | 16% ±25 | 37% ±55 | > 7d | 0.65% | 1.33% | 142 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 108,078.21 (-3.2%) | 11 | 0.7% | 4h | 22.7d ago · 37× | 9% ±12 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 9% ±12 | 13% ±23 | 27% ±50 | > 7d | — | — | 137 → 3 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | POC | long | 111,640 | 117,438.62 | 108,078.21 | expired | +1.19% |