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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-09-08 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,518 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HVN zone | 118,305.32–118,825.35 (+5.3%) | 15 | 1.6% | 12h | 1.3d ago · 80× | 5% ±25 | 53% ±24 | 11% ±15 | 37% ±24 | 16 | 5% ±9 | 5% ±24 | 36% | 95% | 3.3d | 1.60% | 1.07% | 20 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 117,438.62 (+4.5%) | 12 | 1.3% | 15h | 8.3d ago · 38× | 0% ±2 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 5% ±13 | 17% ±33 | > 7d | — | — | 206 → 5 |
| LVN zone | 114,145.14–114,318.48 (+1.6%) | 4.4 | 0.7% | 4h | 2.1d ago · 54× | 51% ±37 | 38% ±30 | 15% ±22 | 46% ±31 | 10 | 10% ±9 | 51% ±37 | 73% ±61 | 73% | 23h | 2.03% | 0.82% | 40 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 112,496.38 (+0.1%) | 0.4 | 2.3% | 14h | 3.8d ago · 67× | 78% ±33 | 53% ±28 | 7% ±14 | 40% ±28 | 12 | 62% ±16 | 78% ±33 | 81% ±54 | 84% | 1h | 1.38% | 0.58% | 35 → 1 | |
| at post · 112,345.8 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 112,214.88 (-0.1%) | 0.3 | 2.4% | 14h | 4.3d ago · 72× | 88% ±32 | 38% ±26 | 19% ±21 | 44% ±27 | 13 | 72% ±18 | 88% ±32 | 92% | 92% | 1h | 1.10% | 1.47% | 23 → 1 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 111,097.44–111,285.01 (-0.9%) | 2.6 | 2.9% | 1.0d | 3.5d ago · 85× | 46% ±29 | 54% ±22 | 13% ±15 | 33% ±21 | 19 | 18% ±9 | 45% ±29 | 64% ±47 | 75% ±60 | 1.4d | 1.14% | 0.80% | 67 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 110,817.97 (-1.4%) | 3.7 | 2.8% | 1.1d | 3.7d ago · 115× | 30% ±22 | 50% ±20 | 11% ±12 | 39% ±19 | 25 | 8% ±5 | 31% ±22 | 54% ±40 | 70% ±64 | 2.0d | 1.26% | 0.51% | 101 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 110,015.49 (-2.1%) | 5.7 | 1.9% | 15h | 1.3d ago · 101× | 18% ±14 | 54% ±21 | 13% ±14 | 33% ±20 | 21 | 4% ±3 | 17% ±14 | 32% ±31 | 47% ±49 | > 7d | 1.38% | 0.57% | 166 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL | 109,263.28 (-2.7%) | 7.5 | 1.2% | 7h | 1.3d ago · 58× | 4% ±9 | 35% ±25 | 12% ±17 | 53% ±26 | 14 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±8 | 14% ±24 | 35% ±54 | > 7d | 0.65% | 1.33% | 140 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 108,078.21 (-3.8%) | 10 | 0.8% | 5h | 22.9d ago · 37× | 9% ±12 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 9% ±11 | 12% ±23 | 27% ±50 | > 7d | — | — | 140 → 3 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | short | 112,345.8 | 111,097.44 | 113,078.33 | target | +1.27% |