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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-09-09 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,512 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.09) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HVN zone | 118,305.32–118,825.35 (+6.0%) | 16 | 1.6% | 13h | 2.2d ago · 79× | 5% ±25 | 53% ±24 | 11% ±15 | 37% ±24 | 16 | 4% ±8 | 4% ±19 | 32% | 96% | 3.3d | 1.60% | 1.07% | 23 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 117,265.28 (+5.1%) | 13 | 1.2% | 11h | 8.0d ago · 38× | 1% ±2 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 3% ±11 | 16% ±32 | > 7d | — | — | 203 → 5 |
| LVN zone | 114,145.14–114,318.48 (+2.3%) | 6.0 | 0.7% | 4h | 1.8d ago · 54× | 27% ±33 | 38% ±30 | 15% ±22 | 46% ±31 | 10 | 6% ±7 | 26% ±31 | 48% ±57 | 53% | 3.1d | 2.03% | 0.82% | 46 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 112,558.55 (+0.9%) | 2.3 | 2.3% | 13h | 3.5d ago · 67× | 36% ±28 | 53% ±28 | 7% ±14 | 40% ±28 | 12 | 21% ±9 | 38% ±28 | 60% ±48 | 68% ±64 | 2.2d | 1.38% | 0.58% | 71 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 112,091.48 (+0.4%) | 1.2 | 2.6% | 18h | 3.8d ago · 89× | 69% ±25 | 58% ±21 | 8% ±12 | 33% ±20 | 21 | 48% ±11 | 70% ±24 | 80% ±35 | 80% ±56 | 5h | 1.21% | 0.87% | 81 → 2 | |
| at post · 111,597.9 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 111,097.44–111,285.01 (-0.3%) | 0.7 | 3.0% | 1.1d | 3.2d ago · 85× | 87% ±20 | 52% ±22 | 13% ±15 | 35% ±21 | 20 | 58% ±12 | 85% ±21 | 91% ±28 | 93% ±35 | 3h | 1.16% | 0.79% | 66 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 110,713.37 (-0.8%) | 2.1 | 2.8% | 1.1d | 3.4d ago · 115× | 68% ±28 | 50% ±20 | 11% ±12 | 39% ±19 | 25 | 35% ±11 | 67% ±27 | 85% ±35 | 88% ±45 | 9h | 1.26% | 0.51% | 69 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 110,036.84 (-1.4%) | 3.7 | 2.0% | 17h | 3.1d ago · 100× | 33% ±19 | 54% ±21 | 13% ±14 | 33% ±20 | 21 | 7% ±4 | 32% ±18 | 47% ±35 | 57% ±49 | 3.4d | 1.38% | 0.57% | 150 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL | 109,263.28 (-2.1%) | 5.5 | 1.2% | 7h | 2.2d ago · 57× | 8% ±12 | 35% ±25 | 12% ±17 | 53% ±26 | 14 | 2% ±2 | 8% ±11 | 26% ±30 | 42% ±56 | > 7d | 0.65% | 1.33% | 137 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 108,078.21 (-3.2%) | 8.3 | 0.9% | 5h | 22.6d ago · 37× | 12% ±14 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 2% ±2 | 12% ±13 | 21% ±30 | 40% ±55 | > 7d | — | — | 129 → 3 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 111,597.9 | 110,713.37 | 112,461.31 | stop | +0.56% |