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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-09-16 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,516 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 116,155.4 (+0.5%) | 1.2 | 1.5% | 9h | 3.9d ago · 89× | 73% ±22 | 56% ±20 | 7% ±10 | 37% ±19 | 24 | 48% ±10 | 73% ±23 | 82% ±34 | 82% ±54 | 5h | 1.20% | 0.89% | 92 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 115,762.48 (+0.1%) | 0.3 | 2.7% | 1.3d | 3.7d ago · 117× | 83% ±22 | 37% ±19 | 11% ±13 | 52% ±20 | 24 | 68% ±11 | 83% ±21 | 92% ±27 | 94% ±32 | 1h | 1.16% | 0.81% | 69 → 2 | |
| at post · 115,616.4 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 114,927.12–115,380.98 (-0.2%) | 0.5 | 2.9% | 1.1d | 3.5d ago · 98× | 89% ±20 | 54% ±20 | 23% ±17 | 23% ±17 | 23 | 69% ±12 | 89% ±19 | 92% ±30 | 92% | 1h | 0.96% | 0.69% | 62 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 115,040.59 (-0.5%) | 1.3 | 3.3% | 1.2d | 9.0d ago · 36× | 65% ±42 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 30% ±16 | 65% ±42 | 84% ±50 | 87% | 9h | — | — | 31 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 114,316.1 (-1.1%) | 3.0 | 1.7% | 13h | 3.8d ago · 58× | 33% ±46 | 36% ±28 | 7% ±15 | 57% ±29 | 11 | 12% ±12 | 29% ±40 | 46% ±69 | 46% | > 7d | 1.36% | 1.04% | 30 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 113,556.05 (-1.8%) | 4.7 | 2.3% | 14h | 3.1d ago · 100× | 21% ±15 | 54% ±21 | 13% ±14 | 33% ±20 | 21 | 4% ±3 | 21% ±14 | 35% ±30 | 45% ±49 | > 7d | 1.38% | 0.57% | 180 → 4 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 111,071.74–111,239.51 (-3.8%) | 10 | 4.1% | 1.5d | 3.2d ago · 85× | 4% ±11 | 56% ±21 | 12% ±14 | 33% ±20 | 21 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±10 | 8% ±24 | 13% ±47 | > 7d | 1.29% | 0.69% | 92 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 109,597.04 (-5.2%) | 14 | 1.7% | 7h | 2.2d ago · 57× | 3% ±6 | 35% ±25 | 12% ±17 | 53% ±26 | 14 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±6 | 3% ±12 | 17% ±37 | > 7d | 0.65% | 1.33% | 156 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 109,367.34 (-5.4%) | 14 | 1.5% | 7h | 22.6d ago · 37× | 4% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±7 | 5% ±14 | 11% ±31 | > 7d | — | — | 171 → 4 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 115,616.4 | 113,556.05 | 116,155.4 | stop | -1.02% |