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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-09-17 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,516 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 116,332.44 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 1.4% | 8h | 3.9d ago · 89× | 84% ±25 | 56% ±20 | 7% ±10 | 37% ±19 | 24 | 73% ±12 | 84% ±25 | 94% ±27 | 94% | 1h | 1.20% | 0.89% | 49 → 1 | |
| at post · 116,264.8 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 115,381.2 (-0.8%) | 2.1 | 2.9% | 1.2d | 3.4d ago · 115× | 68% ±26 | 50% ±19 | 10% ±11 | 40% ±18 | 27 | 33% ±11 | 67% ±27 | 85% ±35 | 88% ±46 | 10h | 1.26% | 0.51% | 74 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 114,952.78–115,360.22 (-0.8%) | 2.1 | 2.9% | 1.2d | 3.5d ago · 98× | 63% ±30 | 52% ±20 | 22% ±17 | 26% ±18 | 24 | 18% ±9 | 62% ±29 | 75% ±43 | 75% ±60 | 15h | 0.95% | 0.70% | 65 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH · 14D VAH | 114,972.44–115,054.64 (-1.0%) | 2.8 | 3.3% | 1.2d | 3.8d ago · 58× | 47% ±35 | 33% ±28 | 15% ±21 | 52% ±30 | 11 | 13% ±9 | 45% ±34 | 67% ±53 | 68% | 17h | 1.22% | 0.90% | 48 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 113,968.75 (-2.0%) | 5.4 | 2.1% | 14h | 3.1d ago · 100× | 19% ±14 | 54% ±21 | 13% ±14 | 33% ±20 | 21 | 4% ±3 | 18% ±13 | 31% ±27 | 42% ±43 | > 7d | 1.38% | 0.57% | 193 → 5 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 111,031.21–111,183.24 (-4.4%) | 12 | 4.1% | 1.5d | 3.2d ago · 85× | 4% ±9 | 56% ±21 | 12% ±14 | 33% ±20 | 21 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±9 | 6% ±19 | 10% ±41 | > 7d | 1.29% | 0.69% | 102 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 109,972.25 (-5.4%) | 15 | 2.1% | 13h | 2.2d ago · 57× | 2% ±6 | 35% ±25 | 12% ±17 | 53% ±26 | 14 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±6 | 2% ±10 | 16% ±36 | > 7d | 0.65% | 1.33% | 149 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 109,350.54 (-5.9%) | 16 | 1.5% | 6h | 22.6d ago · 37× | 3% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±6 | 4% ±12 | 9% ±27 | > 7d | — | — | 179 → 4 |
| LVN zone | 108,841.24–109,248.68 (-6.0%) | 16 | 1.3% | 8h | 1.2d ago · 47× | 3% ±16 | 47% ±26 | 18% ±20 | 35% ±25 | 14 | 3% ±6 | 3% ±15 | 6% ±34 | 47% | > 7d | 1.21% | 0.92% | 30 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 116,264.8 | 115,381.2 | 116,757.9 | stop | -1.12% |