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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-09-17 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,516 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 116,866.53 (+1.1%) | 3.0 | 0.9% | 7h | 3.6d ago · 67× | 33% ±24 | 53% ±26 | 6% ±12 | 41% ±26 | 14 | 12% ±7 | 33% ±24 | 64% ±42 | 70% ±63 | 2.0d | 1.32% | 0.66% | 89 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 116,559.98 (+0.8%) | 2.3 | 1.4% | 11h | 3.9d ago · 89× | 51% ±23 | 56% ±20 | 7% ±10 | 37% ±19 | 24 | 18% ±7 | 53% ±22 | 69% ±37 | 72% ±51 | 21h | 1.20% | 0.89% | 112 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 115,786.9–115,832.79 (+0.2%) | 0.5 | 2.7% | 1.4d | 3.4d ago · 117× | 85% ±19 | 45% ±20 | 13% ±13 | 42% ±19 | 25 | 69% ±10 | 85% ±19 | 92% ±23 | 95% ±30 | 2h | 1.14% | 0.76% | 83 → 2 | |
| at post · 115,594.5 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH | 115,054.64 (-0.5%) | 1.3 | 2.8% | 1.1d | 9.0d ago · 36× | 69% ±37 | 31% ±29 | 23% ±26 | 46% ±31 | 10 | 33% ±16 | 67% ±38 | 85% ±49 | 88% | 8h | 1.07% | 0.75% | 34 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 114,690.05 (-0.8%) | 2.1 | 1.8% | 12h | 3.1d ago · 100× | 52% ±24 | 54% ±21 | 13% ±14 | 33% ±20 | 21 | 17% ±7 | 52% ±24 | 64% ±38 | 71% ±63 | 21h | 1.38% | 0.57% | 104 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 110,572.85–113,119.32 (-2.1%) | 5.8 | 2.7% | 16h | 3.5d ago · 98× | 21% ±24 | 54% ±20 | 21% ±16 | 25% ±17 | 25 | 1% ±3 | 24% ±25 | 28% ±44 | 28% ±62 | > 7d | 0.96% | 0.69% | 66 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 111,668.29 (-3.4%) | 9.3 | 3.0% | 17h | 2.2d ago · 57× | 3% ±6 | 35% ±25 | 12% ±17 | 53% ±26 | 14 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±6 | 7% ±16 | 21% ±40 | > 7d | 0.65% | 1.33% | 173 → 4 | |
| 30D POC | 111,031.21 (-3.9%) | 11 | 4.0% | 1.4d | 3.2d ago · 63× | 6% ±12 | 63% ±24 | 11% ±15 | 26% ±22 | 16 | 1% ±2 | 6% ±11 | 6% ±19 | 6% ±33 | > 7d | 1.43% | 0.78% | 102 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 108,841.24–109,452.4 (-5.3%) | 14 | 1.5% | 6h | 1.2d ago · 47× | 6% ±18 | 47% ±26 | 18% ±20 | 35% ±25 | 14 | 2% ±5 | 5% ±16 | 13% ±47 | 50% | > 7d | 1.21% | 0.92% | 39 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 109,350.54 (-5.4%) | 15 | 1.5% | 6h | 22.6d ago · 37× | 3% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±6 | 5% ±13 | 10% ±30 | > 7d | — | — | 179 → 4 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | short | 115,594.5 | 111,668.29 | 116,866.53 | stop | -1.66% |