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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-09-18 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,512 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.09) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 116,866.53 (+0.5%) | 1.0 | 1.2% | 10h | 3.5d ago · 67× | 71% ±27 | 53% ±26 | 6% ±12 | 41% ±26 | 14 | 53% ±12 | 71% ±27 | 77% ±41 | 79% ±57 | 4h | 1.32% | 0.66% | 64 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 116,402.75 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 2.0% | 11h | 3.8d ago · 89× | 86% ±23 | 54% ±20 | 7% ±10 | 39% ±19 | 25 | 72% ±12 | 86% ±23 | 95% ±25 | 95% | 1h | 1.19% | 0.91% | 55 → 1 | |
| at post · 116,291.8 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 115,786.9–115,833.52 (-0.4%) | 0.8 | 3.8% | 1.8d | 3.1d ago · 115× | 87% ±17 | 51% ±19 | 11% ±12 | 38% ±18 | 28 | 63% ±10 | 87% ±17 | 92% ±23 | 94% ±34 | 2h | 1.24% | 0.56% | 90 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 115,054.64–115,360.22 (-0.8%) | 1.6 | 3.8% | 1.5d | 3.4d ago · 98× | 68% ±28 | 54% ±20 | 21% ±16 | 25% ±17 | 25 | 27% ±10 | 70% ±26 | 79% ±40 | 79% ±56 | 10h | 0.96% | 0.69% | 71 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 115,156.5 (-1.0%) | 2.0 | 3.9% | 1.5d | 8.9d ago · 36× | 52% ±37 | 31% ±29 | 23% ±26 | 46% ±31 | 10 | 18% ±11 | 56% ±37 | 84% ±50 | 87% | 16h | 1.07% | 0.75% | 43 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 114,753.95 (-1.3%) | 2.7 | 2.8% | 19h | 3.0d ago · 100× | 41% ±21 | 54% ±21 | 13% ±14 | 33% ±20 | 21 | 13% ±6 | 42% ±21 | 53% ±37 | 60% ±55 | 1.8d | 1.38% | 0.57% | 132 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 111,748.26 (-3.9%) | 7.9 | 3.8% | 22h | 2.1d ago · 57× | 4% ±7 | 35% ±25 | 12% ±17 | 53% ±26 | 14 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±7 | 11% ±20 | 27% ±44 | > 7d | 0.65% | 1.33% | 160 → 4 | |
| 30D POC | 111,031.21 (-4.5%) | 9.2 | 5.3% | 1.9d | 3.1d ago · 63× | 8% ±13 | 63% ±24 | 11% ±15 | 26% ±22 | 16 | 1% ±2 | 7% ±13 | 7% ±23 | 7% ±36 | > 7d | 1.43% | 0.78% | 97 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 109,350.54 (-6.0%) | 12 | 1.9% | 9h | 22.5d ago · 37× | 7% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±9 | 9% ±18 | 17% ±37 | > 7d | — | — | 184 → 4 |
| LVN zone | 108,841.24–109,350.54 (-6.0%) | 12 | 1.9% | 9h | 1.7d ago · 47× | 12% ±23 | 47% ±26 | 18% ±20 | 35% ±25 | 14 | 2% ±4 | 11% ±21 | 26% ±50 | 71% | 4.6d | 1.21% | 0.92% | 53 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 116,291.8 | 115,833.52 | 116,699.53 | stop | -0.92% |
| 14d | VAH | short | 116,291.8 | 115,786.9 | 117,787.82 | stop | -0.92% |