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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-09-19 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,512 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.09) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 117,794.95 (+1.5%) | 4.6 | 0.2% | 1h | 3.5d ago · 67× | 26% ±19 | 50% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 44% ±25 | 15 | 4% ±3 | 26% ±19 | 57% ±37 | 64% ±54 | 2.5d | 1.29% | 0.66% | 126 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 116,778.82 (+0.6%) | 2.0 | 1.5% | 13h | 3.8d ago · 89× | 65% ±23 | 52% ±19 | 7% ±10 | 41% ±19 | 26 | 27% ±9 | 65% ±23 | 77% ±37 | 78% ±58 | 13h | 1.12% | 0.93% | 98 → 2 | |
| at post · 116,029.9 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 115,635.82–115,955.73 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 2.3% | 21h | 3.4d ago · 98× | 88% ±20 | 55% ±19 | 21% ±16 | 24% ±16 | 26 | 74% ±11 | 89% ±20 | 92% ±31 | 92% | 1h | 0.97% | 0.68% | 59 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 115,735.5–115,828.77 (-0.2%) | 0.5 | 2.8% | 1.3d | 3.1d ago · 115× | 87% ±17 | 50% ±18 | 11% ±11 | 39% ±18 | 29 | 64% ±10 | 87% ±17 | 92% ±23 | 94% ±34 | 2h | 1.26% | 0.56% | 91 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 114,975.11 (-0.9%) | 2.8 | 2.3% | 20h | 3.0d ago · 100× | 40% ±20 | 56% ±21 | 12% ±14 | 32% ±19 | 22 | 12% ±5 | 40% ±20 | 52% ±35 | 58% ±56 | 2.7d | 1.42% | 0.54% | 137 → 3 | |
| 30D VAH | 114,782.73 (-1.1%) | 3.3 | 1.8% | 13h | 8.9d ago · 36× | 58% ±32 | 36% ±28 | 21% ±24 | 43% ±29 | 11 | 14% ±9 | 61% ±30 | 84% ±41 | 86% | 17h | 1.21% | 0.74% | 57 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 113,396.45–113,716.36 (-2.0%) | 6.1 | 1.3% | 9h | 1.7d ago · 47× | 23% ±20 | 47% ±26 | 18% ±20 | 35% ±25 | 14 | 3% ±3 | 23% ±19 | 53% ±40 | 79% ±46 | 2.8d | 1.21% | 0.92% | 112 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 112,819.32 (-2.8%) | 8.5 | 2.5% | 13h | 2.1d ago · 57× | 4% ±7 | 35% ±25 | 12% ±17 | 53% ±26 | 14 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±7 | 8% ±17 | 24% ±42 | > 7d | 0.65% | 1.33% | 172 → 4 | |
| 30D POC | 111,103.75 (-4.2%) | 13 | 3.7% | 1.4d | 3.1d ago · 63× | 3% ±7 | 63% ±24 | 11% ±15 | 26% ±22 | 16 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±7 | 3% ±13 | 3% ±18 | > 7d | 1.43% | 0.78% | 115 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 108,171.23 (-6.8%) | 21 | 1.1% | 7h | 22.5d ago · 37× | 2% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±5 | 2% ±8 | 5% ±19 | > 7d | — | — | 197 → 5 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | long | 116,029.9 | 117,794.95 | 112,819.32 | expired | -0.06% |