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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-09-20 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,512 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.09) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 117,714.7 (+1.8%) | 6.9 | 0.3% | 2h | 3.5d ago · 67× | 19% ±15 | 50% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 44% ±25 | 15 | 1% ±2 | 19% ±15 | 40% ±32 | 53% ±49 | 4.6d | 1.29% | 0.66% | 156 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 116,708.09 (+0.9%) | 3.6 | 1.3% | 11h | 3.8d ago · 89× | 34% ±19 | 52% ±19 | 7% ±10 | 41% ±19 | 26 | 6% ±4 | 33% ±18 | 67% ±31 | 71% ±45 | 1.6d | 1.12% | 0.93% | 153 → 4 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 115,828.77–115,841.6 (+0.2%) | 0.6 | 2.3% | 1.1d | 3.3d ago · 117× | 85% ±18 | 47% ±19 | 12% ±13 | 40% ±19 | 26 | 67% ±10 | 85% ±18 | 93% ±23 | 95% ±30 | 2h | 1.08% | 0.78% | 90 → 2 | |
| at post · 115,645 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL · 30D VAH | 114,782.73–114,833.64 (-0.7%) | 2.7 | 1.5% | 11h | 3.0d ago · 100× | 44% ±21 | 49% ±21 | 15% ±15 | 36% ±20 | 22 | 12% ±5 | 45% ±20 | 63% ±33 | 68% ±53 | 2.1d | 1.35% | 0.61% | 138 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 114,036.27–114,462.82 (-1.0%) | 4.0 | 0.9% | 6h | 1.7d ago · 47× | 29% ±22 | 44% ±25 | 17% ±19 | 39% ±25 | 15 | 6% ±4 | 28% ±21 | 55% ±40 | 80% ±46 | 2.6d | 1.13% | 1.01% | 106 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 113,381.09 (-2.0%) | 7.6 | 1.0% | 5h | 2.1d ago · 57× | 4% ±7 | 35% ±25 | 12% ±17 | 53% ±26 | 14 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±7 | 12% ±21 | 28% ±44 | > 7d | 0.65% | 1.33% | 170 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 110,623.88–112,756.62 (-2.5%) | 9.7 | 2.0% | 9h | 3.4d ago · 98× | 3% ±8 | 55% ±19 | 21% ±16 | 24% ±16 | 26 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±8 | 3% ±15 | 3% ±24 | > 7d | 0.97% | 0.68% | 98 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 111,103.75 (-3.9%) | 15 | 3.0% | 1.1d | 3.1d ago · 63× | 1% ±4 | 63% ±24 | 11% ±15 | 26% ±22 | 16 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±11 | > 7d | 1.43% | 0.78% | 112 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 108,064.6 (-6.6%) | 25 | 0.6% | 3h | 22.5d ago · 37× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±8 | > 7d | — | — | 153 → 4 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 115,645 | 114,833.64 | 116,708.09 | expired | +0.05% |
| 14d | POC | short | 115,645 | 113,381.09 | 117,714.7 | expired | +0.05% |