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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-09-21 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,512 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.09) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 117,290.5 (+1.5%) | 10 | 0.3% | 3h | 3.5d ago · 67× | 8% ±10 | 50% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 44% ±25 | 15 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±10 | 15% ±22 | 33% ±46 | > 7d | 1.29% | 0.66% | 187 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 116,708.09 (+1.0%) | 6.9 | 0.7% | 6h | 3.8d ago · 89× | 19% ±14 | 52% ±19 | 7% ±10 | 41% ±19 | 26 | 2% ±2 | 18% ±14 | 49% ±33 | 56% ±49 | 5.8d | 1.12% | 0.93% | 170 → 4 | |
| 14D POC | 115,792.22 (+0.2%) | 1.3 | 1.5% | 17h | 3.3d ago · 82× | 75% ±23 | 52% ±19 | 17% ±15 | 31% ±18 | 26 | 55% ±11 | 76% ±22 | 87% ±30 | 90% ±41 | 3h | 1.08% | 0.68% | 82 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 115,664.76 (+0.1%) | 0.5 | 1.4% | 19h | 3.6d ago · 117× | 83% ±20 | 40% ±18 | 13% ±13 | 47% ±19 | 27 | 65% ±10 | 84% ±19 | 92% ±23 | 96% ±28 | 2h | 1.04% | 0.84% | 90 → 2 | |
| at post · 115,583.2 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH | 114,996 (-0.5%) | 3.6 | 1.0% | 9h | 8.9d ago · 36× | 61% ±30 | 33% ±27 | 27% ±25 | 40% ±28 | 12 | 11% ±8 | 58% ±29 | 87% ±33 | 87% ±47 | 18h | 1.07% | 0.70% | 63 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 114,833.64 (-0.6%) | 4.6 | 0.8% | 6h | 3.0d ago · 100× | 21% ±14 | 58% ±20 | 12% ±13 | 31% ±19 | 23 | 4% ±3 | 20% ±14 | 33% ±28 | 43% ±43 | > 7d | 1.38% | 0.51% | 206 → 5 | |
| LVN zone | 114,036.27–114,356.18 (-1.1%) | 7.5 | 0.5% | 4h | 1.7d ago · 47× | 21% ±19 | 44% ±25 | 17% ±19 | 39% ±25 | 15 | 1% ±2 | 21% ±19 | 48% ±40 | 75% ±49 | 3.5d | 1.13% | 1.01% | 107 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 113,489.98 (-1.8%) | 13 | 0.4% | 2h | 2.1d ago · 57× | 2% ±5 | 35% ±25 | 12% ±17 | 53% ±26 | 14 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±5 | 3% ±11 | 15% ±35 | > 7d | 0.65% | 1.33% | 187 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 110,623.88–112,543.35 (-2.6%) | 19 | 1.1% | 5h | 3.4d ago · 98× | 1% ±5 | 53% ±19 | 20% ±15 | 27% ±17 | 27 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±8 | 1% ±11 | > 7d | 0.96% | 0.69% | 108 → 3 | |
| 30D POC | 111,103.75 (-3.9%) | 27 | 1.7% | 15h | 3.1d ago · 63× | 2% ±8 | 63% ±24 | 11% ±15 | 26% ±22 | 16 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±12 | 1% ±17 | > 7d | 1.43% | 0.78% | 67 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 108,064.6 (-6.5%) | 46 | 0.3% | 2h | 22.5d ago · 37× | 1% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±11 | 1% ±16 | > 7d | — | — | 72 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 115,583.2 | 114,833.64 | 116,708.09 | target | +2.61% |