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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-09-26 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,512 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.09) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 117,875.2 (+7.6%) | 12 | 0.2% | 1h | 3.5d ago · 67× | 6% ±8 | 50% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 44% ±25 | 15 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±7 | 10% ±17 | 28% ±39 | > 7d | 1.29% | 0.66% | 216 → 5 | |
| 14D POC · 30D VAH | 115,689.44–115,849.1 (+5.6%) | 8.9 | 5.5% | 2.9d | 3.3d ago · 82× | 2% ±4 | 53% ±19 | 17% ±14 | 30% ±17 | 27 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 13% ±19 | 38% ±42 | 5.8d | 1.10% | 0.68% | 211 → 5 | |
| 7D VAH | 113,925.78 (+4.0%) | 6.4 | 2.3% | 15h | 3.8d ago · 89× | 18% ±13 | 52% ±19 | 7% ±10 | 41% ±19 | 26 | 2% ±2 | 17% ±13 | 45% ±29 | 51% ±44 | 6.8d | 1.12% | 0.93% | 197 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D POC | 112,759.6–112,796.91 (+3.0%) | 4.7 | 5.8% | 1.4d | 1.9d ago · 117× | 20% ±21 | 40% ±18 | 11% ±12 | 49% ±19 | 28 | 3% ±4 | 19% ±20 | 47% ±44 | 68% ±65 | 1.9d | 1.09% | 0.82% | 89 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 111,103.75 (+1.4%) | 2.3 | 6.5% | 2.1d | 3.3d ago · 71× | 44% ±37 | 35% ±25 | 18% ±20 | 47% ±26 | 14 | 17% ±11 | 43% ±37 | 62% ±67 | 62% | 1.3d | 1.00% | 0.82% | 44 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 110,730.52–112,969.9 (+1.1%) | 1.8 | 4.9% | 1.7d | 2.2d ago · 79× | 59% ±27 | 48% ±23 | 10% ±14 | 43% ±23 | 18 | 25% ±9 | 58% ±26 | 78% ±36 | 88% ±45 | 18h | 1.49% | 1.07% | 81 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 109,984.06 (+0.4%) | 0.7 | 2.1% | 15h | 23.5d ago · 35× | 71% ±40 | 50% ±30 | 14% ±21 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 46% ±17 | 67% ±38 | 91% ±41 | 97% | 5h | 1.94% | 0.80% | 35 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 109,770.79–109,877.43 (+0.2%) | 0.4 | 2.1% | 10h | 1.8d ago · 54× | 77% ±47 | 53% ±26 | 12% ±17 | 35% ±25 | 14 | 64% ±20 | 78% ±41 | 96% | 96% | 2h | 1.97% | 0.53% | 23 → 1 | |
| at post · 109,520.2 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 109,326.68 (-0.2%) | 0.3 | 3.1% | 18h | 3.0d ago · 100× | 78% ±27 | 57% ±19 | 11% ±12 | 32% ±18 | 25 | 60% ±12 | 79% ±25 | 89% ±36 | 94% | 2h | 1.28% | 0.57% | 60 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 109,520.2 | 112,796.91 | 108,498.84 | expired | -0.29% |