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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-09-26 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,512 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.09) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 117,875.2 (+7.7%) | 12 | 0.2% | 1h | 3.5d ago · 67× | 6% ±8 | 50% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 44% ±25 | 15 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±7 | 10% ±17 | 28% ±39 | > 7d | 1.29% | 0.66% | 216 → 5 | |
| 14D POC · 30D VAH | 115,780.63–115,955.73 (+5.8%) | 9.2 | 5.3% | 2.8d | 3.3d ago · 82× | 1% ±4 | 53% ±19 | 17% ±14 | 30% ±17 | 27 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±4 | 11% ±18 | 37% ±42 | 5.8d | 1.10% | 0.68% | 218 → 5 | |
| 7D VAH | 113,961.1 (+4.2%) | 6.6 | 2.2% | 15h | 3.8d ago · 89× | 16% ±13 | 52% ±19 | 7% ±10 | 41% ±19 | 26 | 2% ±2 | 16% ±13 | 43% ±29 | 50% ±44 | 7.0d | 1.12% | 0.93% | 200 → 5 | |
| 30D POC · 14D VAL · 7D POC | 112,383.39–112,799.66 (+2.7%) | 4.3 | 5.9% | 1.4d | 1.8d ago · 117× | 22% ±22 | 40% ±18 | 13% ±12 | 47% ±18 | 28 | 4% ±4 | 21% ±21 | 43% ±43 | 59% ±68 | 2.0d | 1.07% | 0.81% | 90 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 110,730.52–112,969.9 (+1.2%) | 1.9 | 4.8% | 1.7d | 2.1d ago · 79× | 57% ±27 | 48% ±23 | 10% ±14 | 43% ±23 | 18 | 20% ±9 | 55% ±27 | 74% ±43 | 89% ±44 | 18h | 1.49% | 1.07% | 80 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 109,984.06 (+0.5%) | 0.8 | 2.2% | 15h | 23.5d ago · 35× | 72% ±36 | 50% ±30 | 14% ±21 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 45% ±15 | 65% ±35 | 91% ±39 | 98% | 5h | 1.94% | 0.80% | 42 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 109,877.43–109,984.06 (+0.4%) | 0.7 | 2.0% | 11h | 1.7d ago · 54× | 78% ±36 | 53% ±26 | 12% ±17 | 35% ±25 | 14 | 59% ±16 | 81% ±31 | 95% ±31 | 95% | 2h | 1.97% | 0.53% | 35 → 1 | |
| at post · 109,408.6 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 109,390.25 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 3.6% | 21h | 3.0d ago · 100× | 84% ±27 | 55% ±19 | 10% ±12 | 34% ±18 | 26 | 72% ±13 | 86% ±24 | 90% ±34 | 94% | 1h | 1.28% | 0.59% | 48 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 109,408.6 | 112,799.66 | 108,567.5 | expired | -0.06% |