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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-09-27 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,512 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.09) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 117,875.2 (+7.6%) | 16 | 0.1% | 32m | 3.5d ago · 67× | 2% ±5 | 50% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 44% ±25 | 15 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±5 | 3% ±11 | 20% ±39 | > 7d | 1.29% | 0.66% | 179 → 4 | |
| 30D VAH | 116,062.37 (+5.9%) | 13 | 2.4% | 17h | 8.0d ago · 38× | 0% ±2 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 6% ±13 | 17% ±33 | > 7d | — | — | 229 → 5 |
| 14D POC | 115,594.45 (+5.5%) | 12 | 4.0% | 2.2d | 3.3d ago · 82× | 3% ±8 | 53% ±19 | 17% ±14 | 30% ±17 | 27 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±8 | 9% ±25 | 76% ±59 | 5.8d | 1.10% | 0.68% | 84 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 113,961.1 (+4.0%) | 8.6 | 1.7% | 11h | 3.8d ago · 89× | 13% ±12 | 52% ±19 | 7% ±10 | 41% ±19 | 26 | 2% ±2 | 13% ±12 | 31% ±27 | 42% ±43 | > 7d | 1.12% | 0.93% | 189 → 5 | |
| LVN zone | 113,503.08–113,609.72 (+3.6%) | 7.7 | 1.5% | 8h | 1.8d ago · 54× | 10% ±16 | 50% ±25 | 17% ±19 | 33% ±24 | 15 | 2% ±3 | 10% ±16 | 42% ±48 | 52% ±69 | 4.2d | 1.87% | 0.49% | 80 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 112,799.66 (+2.9%) | 6.3 | 4.3% | 1.0d | 3.7d ago · 117× | 4% ±10 | 42% ±18 | 13% ±12 | 45% ±18 | 28 | 2% ±3 | 4% ±9 | 22% ±33 | 49% ±69 | > 7d | 1.06% | 0.81% | 100 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 112,475.86 (+2.6%) | 5.7 | 4.2% | 1.0d | 1.9d ago · 51× | 26% ±26 | 36% ±28 | 7% ±15 | 57% ±29 | 11 | 3% ±4 | 25% ±25 | 64% ±47 | 99% ±16 | 2.3d | 1.16% | 0.87% | 69 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 111,103.75 (+1.4%) | 3.0 | 4.5% | 1.5d | 3.3d ago · 71× | 45% ±33 | 39% ±25 | 17% ±19 | 44% ±25 | 15 | 15% ±9 | 43% ±31 | 61% ±55 | 61% | 1.3d | 1.02% | 0.78% | 58 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 110,730.52–111,690.25 (+1.0%) | 2.2 | 3.5% | 1.2d | 2.2d ago · 79× | 53% ±27 | 48% ±23 | 10% ±14 | 43% ±23 | 18 | 14% ±7 | 50% ±26 | 71% ±40 | 88% ±46 | 1.0d | 1.49% | 1.07% | 84 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 109,984.06 (+0.4%) | 0.8 | 1.6% | 11h | 23.5d ago · 35× | 72% ±36 | 50% ±30 | 14% ±21 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 45% ±15 | 75% ±32 | 93% ±36 | 98% | 5h | 1.94% | 0.80% | 42 → 1 | |
| at post · 109,598.1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 109,465.18 (-0.1%) | 0.3 | 3.0% | 20h | 3.0d ago · 100× | 80% ±25 | 55% ±19 | 10% ±12 | 34% ±18 | 26 | 63% ±12 | 82% ±23 | 89% ±30 | 94% ±33 | 2h | 1.28% | 0.59% | 63 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 109,598.1 | 112,799.66 | 108,655.92 | expired | -0.25% |