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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-09-27 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,512 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.09) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 117,875.2 (+7.8%) | 43 | <0.1% | 9m | 3.4d ago · 67× | 8% ±38 | 50% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 44% ±25 | 15 | 7% ±15 | 7% ±36 | 7% | 7% | > 7d | 1.29% | 0.66% | 12 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 116,169.01 (+6.3%) | 34 | 0.8% | 4h | 7.9d ago · 38× | 3% ±15 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 3% ±6 | 3% ±13 | 3% ±23 | 3% | > 7d | — | — | 33 → 1 |
| 14D POC | 115,594.45 (+5.7%) | 31 | 1.6% | 21h | 3.2d ago · 82× | building | 53% ±19 | 17% ±14 | 30% ±17 | 27 | building | building | building | building | — | 1.10% | 0.68% | 2 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 113,289.81–113,396.45 (+3.6%) | 20 | 0.6% | 3h | 1.7d ago · 54× | 1% ±4 | 50% ±25 | 17% ±19 | 33% ±24 | 15 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 11% ±25 | 35% ±54 | > 7d | 1.87% | 0.49% | 110 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 112,812.53 (+3.2%) | 17 | 1.6% | 8h | 3.7d ago · 89× | 1% ±7 | 52% ±19 | 7% ±10 | 41% ±19 | 26 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 6% ±23 | 35% ±66 | > 7d | 1.12% | 0.93% | 71 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 112,382.77 (+2.8%) | 15 | 1.6% | 9h | 1.8d ago · 51× | building | 36% ±28 | 7% ±15 | 57% ±29 | 11 | building | building | building | building | — | 1.16% | 0.87% | 3 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 111,103.75 (+1.6%) | 8.8 | 1.8% | 15h | 3.2d ago · 71× | 1% ±4 | 39% ±25 | 17% ±19 | 44% ±25 | 15 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 3% ±12 | 26% ±50 | > 7d | 1.02% | 0.78% | 119 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 109,984.06 (+0.6%) | 3.2 | 0.6% | 4h | 23.5d ago · 35× | 54% ±33 | 47% ±28 | 20% ±23 | 33% ±27 | 12 | 12% ±8 | 53% ±31 | 86% ±40 | 98% | 1.0d | 1.68% | 0.73% | 57 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 109,344.24–109,450.88 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 1.5% | 16h | 2.1d ago · 79× | 81% ±27 | 48% ±23 | 10% ±14 | 43% ±23 | 18 | 77% ±12 | 81% ±27 | 90% ±33 | 92% | 1h | 1.49% | 1.07% | 50 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 109,334.77 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 1.5% | 16h | 3.6d ago · 117× | 90% ±18 | 42% ±18 | 13% ±12 | 45% ±18 | 28 | 76% ±10 | 90% ±18 | 94% ±23 | 97% ±23 | 1h | 1.06% | 0.81% | 66 → 2 | |
| at post · 109,333.3 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 108,566 (-0.7%) | 3.8 | 1.0% | 8h | 3.0d ago · 100× | 30% ±15 | 53% ±19 | 13% ±13 | 33% ±18 | 27 | 6% ±3 | 30% ±15 | 45% ±29 | 60% ±43 | 3.8d | 1.27% | 0.57% | 201 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 109,333.3 | 108,566 | 112,812.53 | expired | -1.29% |