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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-09-30 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,512 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.09) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 115,742.46 (+2.6%) | 6.6 | 3.6% | 1.9d | 7.9d ago · 38× | 8% ±10 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 8% ±10 | 25% ±28 | 33% ±46 | > 7d | — | — | 165 → 4 |
| HVN zone | 115,422.55–115,849.1 (+2.3%) | 5.9 | 3.4% | 1.6d | 2.1d ago · 79× | 22% ±22 | 43% ±22 | 9% ±12 | 48% ±22 | 20 | 5% ±5 | 21% ±21 | 46% ±44 | 76% ±59 | 4.3d | 1.14% | 1.15% | 89 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 115,268.62 (+2.2%) | 5.5 | 2.9% | 1.1d | 3.5d ago · 67× | 21% ±16 | 50% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 44% ±25 | 15 | 3% ±2 | 21% ±16 | 46% ±33 | 54% ±49 | 4.4d | 1.29% | 0.66% | 156 → 4 | |
| 30D POC | 112,809.94 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 3.9% | 21h | 3.3d ago · 71× | 89% ±24 | 37% ±24 | 16% ±18 | 47% ±24 | 16 | 68% ±14 | 89% ±24 | 95% ±29 | 98% | 1h | 1.00% | 0.82% | 42 → 1 | |
| at post · 112,798.6 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 112,742.78 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 3.7% | 20h | 3.9d ago · 72× | 96% ±19 | 45% ±24 | 15% ±17 | 40% ±23 | 17 | 78% ±16 | 96% ±19 | 96% | 96% | 1h | 1.10% | 1.34% | 25 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 109,984.06 (-2.5%) | 6.3 | 1.2% | 9h | 22.5d ago · 37× | 14% ±15 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 2% ±3 | 13% ±15 | 27% ±33 | 40% ±55 | > 7d | — | — | 128 → 3 |
| LVN zone | 109,877.43–109,984.06 (-2.5%) | 6.3 | 1.2% | 9h | 1.7d ago · 47× | 26% ±18 | 43% ±23 | 14% ±16 | 43% ±23 | 18 | 3% ±3 | 26% ±18 | 59% ±34 | 82% ±43 | 2.5d | 1.10% | 1.10% | 139 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 109,344.24–109,450.88 (-3.0%) | 7.5 | 3.3% | 1.4d | 3.4d ago · 98× | 13% ±16 | 53% ±17 | 19% ±14 | 28% ±15 | 33 | 2% ±3 | 12% ±16 | 18% ±34 | 20% ±56 | > 7d | 0.96% | 0.69% | 95 → 2 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 109,345.25–109,357.28 (-3.1%) | 7.7 | 3.5% | 1.6d | 3.1d ago · 115× | 9% ±14 | 47% ±17 | 10% ±10 | 44% ±17 | 33 | 1% ±2 | 9% ±14 | 22% ±33 | 39% ±68 | > 7d | 1.20% | 0.56% | 99 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 108,566 (-3.8%) | 9.5 | 0.8% | 3h | 2.1d ago · 100× | 5% ±7 | 46% ±19 | 13% ±12 | 41% ±19 | 27 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±7 | 15% ±20 | 30% ±40 | > 7d | 1.04% | 0.85% | 213 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | POC | short | 112,798.6 | 109,984.06 | 115,742.46 | stop | -4.15% |