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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-10-01 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,512 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.09) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 116,060.5 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 115,361.15–115,884.91 (-0.2%) | 0.3 | 4.3% | 1.9d | 3.3d ago · 98× | 91% ±16 | 53% ±17 | 19% ±14 | 28% ±15 | 33 | 77% ±10 | 91% ±16 | 94% ±24 | 94% ±34 | 1h | 0.96% | 0.69% | 75 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 115,675.41 (-0.3%) | 0.7 | 4.9% | 2.5d | 8.9d ago · 36× | 83% ±33 | 31% ±25 | 25% ±24 | 44% ±27 | 13 | 59% ±19 | 83% ±33 | 97% ±25 | 97% | 2h | 0.93% | 0.74% | 27 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 114,616.98 (-1.2%) | 2.4 | 2.3% | 11h | 3.7d ago · 58× | 41% ±39 | 44% ±27 | 6% ±13 | 50% ±27 | 13 | 15% ±12 | 41% ±39 | 54% ±69 | 69% | 1.7d | 1.37% | 0.85% | 37 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 113,305.94 (-2.4%) | 4.7 | 2.6% | 12h | 3.8d ago · 72× | 18% ±24 | 45% ±24 | 15% ±17 | 40% ±23 | 17 | 5% ±5 | 19% ±24 | 46% ±56 | 48% | > 7d | 1.10% | 1.34% | 62 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 112,794.73 (-2.8%) | 5.5 | 5.0% | 1.2d | 3.1d ago · 63× | 24% ±22 | 64% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 27% ±20 | 19 | 4% ±4 | 24% ±22 | 30% ±40 | 30% ±63 | > 7d | 1.46% | 0.59% | 92 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 110,123.55 (-5.1%) | 10 | 2.2% | 19h | 22.5d ago · 37× | 6% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±8 | 8% ±15 | 17% ±33 | > 7d | — | — | 212 → 5 |
| LVN zone | 109,809.3–109,914.05 (-5.3%) | 10 | 1.5% | 9h | 1.7d ago · 47× | 16% ±19 | 43% ±23 | 14% ±16 | 43% ±23 | 18 | 1% ±2 | 16% ±18 | 38% ±43 | 69% ±64 | 4.3d | 1.10% | 1.10% | 95 → 2 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 109,329.21–109,357.28 (-5.8%) | 11 | 4.2% | 2.0d | 3.1d ago · 115× | 3% ±9 | 47% ±17 | 10% ±10 | 44% ±17 | 33 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±9 | 7% ±23 | 20% ±55 | > 7d | 1.20% | 0.56% | 93 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 108,566 (-6.5%) | 13 | 0.9% | 4h | 2.1d ago · 100× | 3% ±6 | 46% ±19 | 13% ±12 | 41% ±19 | 27 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±6 | 9% ±16 | 22% ±37 | > 7d | 1.04% | 0.85% | 208 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | long | 116,060.5 | 122,111.48 | 109,357.28 | expired | +2.22% |
| 30d | VAH | long | 116,060.5 | 121,612.36 | 112,794.73 | expired | +2.22% |