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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-10-02 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,512 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.09) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 119,694 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH | 115,952.75 (-3.1%) | 6.3 | 3.9% | 1.6d | 8.9d ago · 36× | 43% ±34 | 31% ±25 | 25% ±24 | 44% ±27 | 13 | 4% ±5 | 42% ±32 | 60% ±55 | 60% | 1.3d | 0.93% | 0.74% | 53 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 115,249.25–115,952.75 (-3.1%) | 6.3 | 3.9% | 1.6d | 3.4d ago · 98× | 18% ±19 | 55% ±16 | 18% ±13 | 26% ±15 | 35 | 2% ±3 | 18% ±19 | 23% ±37 | 28% ±62 | > 7d | 0.96% | 0.69% | 96 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 114,663–114,780.25 (-4.1%) | 8.3 | 2.3% | 11h | 3.7d ago · 72× | 15% ±28 | 46% ±23 | 11% ±14 | 43% ±23 | 18 | 3% ±5 | 14% ±25 | 27% ±62 | 27% | > 7d | 1.25% | 1.11% | 40 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 112,845.63 (-5.7%) | 12 | 5.0% | 1.1d | 3.1d ago · 63× | 5% ±9 | 64% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 27% ±20 | 19 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±8 | 6% ±16 | 21% ±46 | > 7d | 1.46% | 0.59% | 136 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 110,442 (-7.7%) | 16 | 2.1% | 16h | 22.5d ago · 37× | 2% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±5 | 3% ±10 | 9% ±25 | > 7d | — | — | 225 → 5 |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 109,328.13 (-8.7%) | 17 | 3.4% | 1.8d | 3.1d ago · 115× | 2% ±7 | 47% ±17 | 10% ±10 | 44% ±17 | 33 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±7 | 2% ±15 | 11% ±43 | > 7d | 1.20% | 0.56% | 79 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 108,566 (-9.3%) | 19 | 0.2% | 35m | 2.1d ago · 100× | 2% ±6 | 46% ±19 | 13% ±12 | 41% ±19 | 27 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±5 | 5% ±15 | 12% ±37 | > 7d | 1.04% | 0.85% | 145 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.