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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-10-07 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,512 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0011), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 125,536.24 (+3.2%) | 5.1 | 0.5% | 2h | 3.7d ago · 89× | 22% ±14 | 50% ±19 | 7% ±9 | 43% ±19 | 27 | 3% ±2 | 21% ±14 | 51% ±30 | 60% ±43 | 2.8d | 1.04% | 0.96% | 204 → 5 | |
| 7D POC | 122,376.59 (+0.6%) | 1.0 | 2.0% | 16h | 3.5d ago · 117× | 81% ±18 | 41% ±18 | 13% ±12 | 47% ±18 | 29 | 61% ±9 | 81% ±18 | 91% ±23 | 94% ±28 | 2h | 1.04% | 0.84% | 109 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH | 121,974.3 (+0.3%) | 0.5 | 1.7% | 12h | 3.3d ago · 67× | 76% ±28 | 53% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 42% ±24 | 16 | 63% ±13 | 76% ±28 | 78% ±47 | 80% | 2h | 1.12% | 0.76% | 52 → 1 | |
| at post · 121,621.5 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 120,562.9–121,621.45 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 1.2% | 6h | 1.6d ago · 47× | 88% ±29 | 48% ±22 | 13% ±15 | 39% ±21 | 20 | 76% ±15 | 88% ±28 | 91% ±39 | 97% | 1h | 1.21% | 0.92% | 32 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAH | 119,151.5–119,351.4 (-1.9%) | 3.0 | 0.7% | 2h | 2.9d ago · 100× | 44% ±19 | 46% ±19 | 17% ±14 | 37% ±18 | 27 | 11% ±5 | 44% ±19 | 63% ±32 | 72% ±44 | 2.1d | 1.16% | 0.63% | 160 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 114,917.3–116,505.13 (-4.2%) | 6.7 | 3.2% | 21h | 3.3d ago · 98× | 14% ±16 | 55% ±16 | 18% ±13 | 26% ±15 | 35 | 2% ±2 | 14% ±16 | 19% ±32 | 23% ±47 | > 7d | 0.96% | 0.69% | 112 → 3 | |
| 30D POC | 115,711.21 (-4.9%) | 7.8 | 5.9% | 3.2d | 3.0d ago · 63× | 11% ±14 | 64% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 27% ±20 | 19 | 2% ±3 | 11% ±14 | 12% ±26 | 21% ±46 | > 7d | 1.46% | 0.59% | 107 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 110,506.68 (-9.1%) | 15 | 0.4% | 2h | 22.4d ago · 37× | 2% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±5 | 3% ±9 | 9% ±23 | > 7d | — | — | 249 → 6 |
| 14D POC | 109,359.91 (-10.1%) | 16 | 3.6% | 2.1d | 3.0d ago · 85× | 1% ±5 | 46% ±20 | 12% ±13 | 42% ±20 | 23 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 2% ±11 | 10% ±34 | > 7d | 1.10% | 0.63% | 109 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 108,566 (-10.7%) | 17 | 0.2% | 51m | 2.0d ago · 57× | 2% ±5 | 33% ±24 | 11% ±16 | 56% ±25 | 15 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±5 | 6% ±15 | 17% ±37 | > 7d | 0.63% | 1.35% | 188 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | short | 121,621.5 | 109,359.91 | 124,387.79 | expired | -1.13% |