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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-10-08 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,512 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0011), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 125,383.08 (+2.5%) | 3.7 | 0.9% | 4h | 3.7d ago · 89× | 32% ±17 | 52% ±19 | 6% ±9 | 42% ±18 | 28 | 5% ±3 | 31% ±17 | 64% ±30 | 68% ±46 | 1.7d | 1.12% | 0.93% | 172 → 4 | |
| at post · 122,332.6 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH · 7D POC | 121,926.61–122,150.73 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 2.4% | 21h | 3.2d ago · 115× | 88% ±16 | 48% ±17 | 7% ±9 | 44% ±17 | 34 | 71% ±9 | 88% ±16 | 92% ±23 | 93% ±35 | 1h | 1.43% | 0.56% | 93 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 120,562.9–121,092.18 (-1.0%) | 1.5 | 1.1% | 4h | 1.6d ago · 47× | 56% ±28 | 46% ±21 | 13% ±14 | 42% ±21 | 21 | 39% ±11 | 57% ±28 | 75% ±43 | 92% ±38 | 11h | 1.13% | 1.01% | 73 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAH | 120,210.05–120,327.35 (-1.6%) | 2.4 | 1.3% | 11h | 2.9d ago · 100× | 51% ±21 | 46% ±19 | 17% ±14 | 37% ±18 | 27 | 16% ±6 | 50% ±21 | 71% ±33 | 78% ±47 | 1.1d | 1.16% | 0.63% | 131 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 114,917.3–116,505.13 (-4.8%) | 7.0 | 3.5% | 23h | 3.3d ago · 98× | 12% ±15 | 55% ±16 | 18% ±13 | 26% ±15 | 35 | 2% ±2 | 12% ±14 | 17% ±28 | 20% ±45 | > 7d | 0.96% | 0.69% | 120 → 3 | |
| 30D POC | 115,711.21 (-5.4%) | 7.9 | 6.4% | 3.5d | 3.0d ago · 63× | 10% ±14 | 64% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 27% ±20 | 19 | 2% ±2 | 10% ±13 | 11% ±23 | 19% ±45 | > 7d | 1.46% | 0.59% | 118 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 110,506.68 (-9.7%) | 14 | 0.4% | 2h | 22.4d ago · 37× | 3% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±5 | 4% ±11 | 11% ±25 | > 7d | — | — | 255 → 6 |
| 14D POC | 109,359.91 (-10.6%) | 16 | 3.9% | 2.2d | 3.0d ago · 85× | 1% ±4 | 46% ±20 | 12% ±13 | 42% ±20 | 23 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 2% ±11 | 10% ±33 | > 7d | 1.10% | 0.63% | 112 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 108,566 (-11.3%) | 16 | 0.3% | 1h | 2.0d ago · 57× | 3% ±5 | 33% ±24 | 11% ±16 | 56% ±25 | 15 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±5 | 7% ±15 | 19% ±35 | > 7d | 0.63% | 1.35% | 201 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 122,332.6 | 125,383.08 | 120,327.35 | expired | -0.92% |
| 14d | VAH | long | 122,332.6 | 122,415.36 | 109,359.91 | target | -0.92% |