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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-10-09 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,512 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0011), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 124,813.48 (+3.0%) | 5.5 | 1.2% | 7h | 3.7d ago · 89× | 19% ±13 | 52% ±19 | 6% ±9 | 42% ±18 | 28 | 3% ±2 | 19% ±12 | 47% ±27 | 58% ±43 | 3.4d | 1.12% | 0.93% | 228 → 5 | |
| 14D VAH | 122,503.58 (+1.1%) | 2.0 | 2.2% | 14h | 3.3d ago · 67× | 50% ±28 | 50% ±24 | 5% ±10 | 45% ±24 | 17 | 31% ±11 | 50% ±28 | 68% ±46 | 73% ±62 | 13h | 0.95% | 0.86% | 72 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 121,907.19 (+0.6%) | 1.1 | 2.6% | 20h | 3.5d ago · 117× | 80% ±18 | 39% ±17 | 12% ±12 | 48% ±18 | 30 | 59% ±9 | 80% ±18 | 90% ±24 | 93% ±29 | 3h | 1.04% | 0.86% | 109 → 3 | |
| 30D VAH | 121,445.03 (+0.2%) | 0.4 | 1.4% | 6h | 7.8d ago · 38× | 83% ±37 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 65% ±20 | 83% ±37 | 83% | 87% | 1h | — | — | 21 → 1 |
| at post · 121,202.4 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 121,170.94 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 1.0% | 4h | 2.9d ago · 100× | 85% ±23 | 53% ±19 | 13% ±13 | 33% ±18 | 27 | 71% ±12 | 86% ±23 | 89% ±35 | 93% | 1h | 1.27% | 0.57% | 54 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 120,562.9–121,092.18 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 0.9% | 3h | 1.6d ago · 47× | 80% ±30 | 48% ±21 | 12% ±14 | 40% ±20 | 22 | 69% ±14 | 80% ±30 | 87% ±47 | 96% | 2h | 1.21% | 0.92% | 43 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 114,917.3–116,505.13 (-3.9%) | 7.1 | 2.7% | 18h | 3.3d ago · 98× | 10% ±13 | 55% ±16 | 18% ±13 | 26% ±15 | 35 | 2% ±2 | 10% ±13 | 15% ±26 | 17% ±42 | > 7d | 0.96% | 0.69% | 124 → 3 | |
| 30D POC | 115,711.21 (-4.5%) | 8.4 | 5.1% | 2.8d | 3.0d ago · 63× | 8% ±12 | 64% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 27% ±20 | 19 | 2% ±2 | 8% ±11 | 10% ±22 | 18% ±44 | > 7d | 1.46% | 0.59% | 128 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 110,506.68 (-8.8%) | 16 | 0.3% | 1h | 22.4d ago · 37× | 2% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 3% ±8 | 8% ±21 | > 7d | — | — | 265 → 6 |
| 14D POC | 109,359.91 (-9.8%) | 18 | 3.2% | 1.9d | 3.0d ago · 85× | 1% ±4 | 46% ±20 | 12% ±13 | 42% ±20 | 23 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 2% ±10 | 8% ±30 | > 7d | 1.10% | 0.63% | 117 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 108,566 (-10.4%) | 19 | 0.2% | 41m | 2.0d ago · 57× | 2% ±5 | 33% ±24 | 11% ±16 | 56% ±25 | 15 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±5 | 5% ±13 | 11% ±31 | > 7d | 0.63% | 1.35% | 179 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAH | short | 121,202.4 | 115,711.21 | 123,413.93 | stop | -0.30% |