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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-10-09 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,512 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0011), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 124,386.29 (+3.9%) | 5.9 | 1.6% | 9h | 3.6d ago · 89× | 17% ±12 | 52% ±19 | 6% ±9 | 42% ±18 | 28 | 2% ±2 | 17% ±12 | 45% ±28 | 56% ±43 | 5.8d | 1.12% | 0.93% | 224 → 5 | |
| 14D VAH | 122,503.58 (+2.3%) | 3.5 | 3.0% | 18h | 3.3d ago · 67× | 29% ±20 | 50% ±24 | 5% ±10 | 45% ±24 | 17 | 7% ±5 | 29% ±20 | 65% ±35 | 70% ±52 | 2.2d | 0.95% | 0.86% | 117 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 121,797.88–122,327.15 (+1.7%) | 2.6 | 3.3% | 23h | 1.9d ago · 79× | 44% ±23 | 42% ±21 | 8% ±12 | 50% ±21 | 21 | 11% ±6 | 44% ±23 | 78% ±33 | 90% ±34 | 1.2d | 0.85% | 1.17% | 105 → 3 | |
| 30D VAH · 7D POC | 121,621.45–121,898.27 (+1.6%) | 2.4 | 2.7% | 16h | 3.4d ago · 117× | 48% ±27 | 39% ±17 | 12% ±12 | 48% ±18 | 30 | 15% ±8 | 48% ±27 | 67% ±46 | 77% ±59 | 1.1d | 1.04% | 0.86% | 76 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 121,092.3 (+1.1%) | 1.7 | 1.5% | 4h | 2.9d ago · 76× | 69% ±32 | 42% ±24 | 11% ±15 | 47% ±24 | 16 | 21% ±12 | 69% ±32 | 81% ±44 | 96% | 16h | 1.36% | 0.72% | 46 → 1 | |
| at post · 119,752.1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 114,917.3–116,505.13 (-2.7%) | 4.1 | 3.2% | 22h | 3.2d ago · 98× | 40% ±24 | 55% ±16 | 18% ±13 | 26% ±15 | 35 | 4% ±4 | 40% ±24 | 51% ±44 | 56% ±69 | 1.9d | 0.96% | 0.69% | 95 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 115,711.21 (-3.4%) | 5.1 | 6.0% | 3.3d | 2.9d ago · 63× | 25% ±22 | 64% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 27% ±20 | 19 | 4% ±4 | 25% ±22 | 32% ±41 | 32% ±65 | > 7d | 1.46% | 0.59% | 91 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 109,800.98–110,859.53 (-7.4%) | 11 | 1.0% | 5h | 1.5d ago · 47× | 15% ±18 | 48% ±21 | 12% ±14 | 40% ±20 | 22 | 1% ±2 | 15% ±18 | 32% ±41 | 57% ±69 | 5.0d | 1.21% | 0.92% | 91 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 110,506.68 (-7.7%) | 12 | 0.4% | 2h | 22.3d ago · 37× | 5% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±7 | 6% ±13 | 13% ±27 | > 7d | — | — | 248 → 6 |
| 14D POC | 109,359.91 (-8.7%) | 13 | 3.7% | 2.1d | 2.9d ago · 85× | 1% ±4 | 46% ±20 | 12% ±13 | 42% ±20 | 23 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 2% ±11 | 9% ±32 | > 7d | 1.10% | 0.63% | 127 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 108,566 (-9.3%) | 14 | 0.3% | 55m | 1.9d ago · 57× | 3% ±6 | 33% ±24 | 11% ±16 | 56% ±25 | 15 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±6 | 8% ±14 | 21% ±36 | > 7d | 0.63% | 1.35% | 227 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAH | short | 119,752.1 | 115,711.21 | 123,622.11 | expired | +1.34% |