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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-10-10 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,512 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.09) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 125,521.04 (+9.9%) | 13 | 0.6% | 3h | 3.4d ago · 67× | 3% ±6 | 48% ±23 | 5% ±10 | 48% ±23 | 18 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±6 | 8% ±16 | 30% ±40 | > 7d | 1.12% | 0.94% | 215 → 5 | |
| 7D VAH | 124,597.87 (+9.1%) | 12 | 1.6% | 9h | 3.7d ago · 89× | 7% ±10 | 52% ±19 | 6% ±9 | 42% ±18 | 28 | 1% ±2 | 7% ±10 | 19% ±26 | 40% ±48 | > 7d | 1.12% | 0.93% | 157 → 4 | |
| 30D VAH · 14D POC · 7D POC | 121,621.45–121,846.38 (+6.5%) | 8.5 | 3.7% | 1.1d | 3.2d ago · 117× | 3% ±5 | 42% ±17 | 13% ±12 | 45% ±18 | 31 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±5 | 17% ±21 | 47% ±44 | 6.2d | 1.01% | 0.94% | 223 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 121,445.03–122,327.15 (+6.3%) | 8.3 | 3.3% | 22h | 2.0d ago · 79× | 14% ±20 | 42% ±21 | 8% ±12 | 50% ±21 | 21 | 3% ±4 | 14% ±20 | 38% ±48 | 80% ±55 | 4.4d | 0.85% | 1.17% | 70 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 120,839.74 (+5.8%) | 7.6 | 2.1% | 9h | 3.0d ago · 76× | 14% ±48 | 45% ±24 | 10% ±14 | 45% ±24 | 17 | 7% ±14 | 14% ±48 | 50% | 57% | 2.9d | 1.46% | 0.85% | 13 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 117,740.1–118,445.8 (+3.1%) | 4.0 | 1.6% | 8h | 1.7d ago · 54× | 51% ±31 | 50% ±24 | 15% ±17 | 35% ±23 | 17 | 8% ±7 | 51% ±31 | 75% ±49 | 84% | 23h | 1.80% | 0.49% | 59 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 117,271.47 (+2.7%) | 3.5 | 2.8% | 23h | 1.8d ago · 51× | 30% ±25 | 40% ±28 | 7% ±14 | 53% ±28 | 12 | 4% ±4 | 30% ±25 | 65% ±47 | 99% ±15 | 2.1d | 1.14% | 1.03% | 80 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 115,711.21 (+1.3%) | 1.7 | 6.7% | 3.6d | 3.2d ago · 71× | 64% ±31 | 35% ±23 | 15% ±17 | 50% ±24 | 17 | 34% ±13 | 64% ±31 | 87% ±38 | 87% | 14h | 0.99% | 0.85% | 51 → 1 | |
| at post · 114,198 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 112,447.35–112,976.63 (-1.1%) | 1.4 | 3.9% | 1.1d | 3.3d ago · 98× | 74% ±23 | 55% ±16 | 18% ±13 | 26% ±15 | 35 | 37% ±10 | 74% ±23 | 83% ±33 | 83% ±52 | 8h | 0.96% | 0.69% | 86 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 109,800.98–111,388.8 (-2.5%) | 3.2 | 1.6% | 8h | 1.6d ago · 47× | 36% ±22 | 50% ±20 | 12% ±13 | 38% ±20 | 23 | 13% ±6 | 39% ±21 | 64% ±36 | 85% ±41 | 2.0d | 1.29% | 1.01% | 117 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 110,683.1 (-3.1%) | 4.0 | 0.5% | 2h | 22.4d ago · 37× | 15% ±18 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 3% ±4 | 15% ±18 | 35% ±42 | 48% ±69 | > 7d | — | — | 89 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | POC | short | 114,198 | 110,683.1 | 121,621.45 | target | +3.51% |