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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-10-11 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,512 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0011), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 125,961.58 (+12.7%) | 7.7 | 0.5% | 2h | 3.4d ago · 89× | 14% ±11 | 51% ±19 | 6% ±9 | 43% ±18 | 28 | 1% ±1 | 14% ±11 | 33% ±27 | 47% ±44 | > 7d | 1.18% | 0.91% | 212 → 5 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D VAH | 121,640.48–121,763.94 (+8.8%) | 5.3 | 7.0% | 2.1d | 3.2d ago · 117× | 15% ±15 | 44% ±17 | 13% ±12 | 43% ±17 | 32 | 2% ±2 | 14% ±15 | 38% ±36 | 57% ±56 | 5.1d | 1.07% | 0.92% | 134 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 118,060.14 (+5.6%) | 3.4 | 2.3% | 11h | 3.0d ago · 76× | 43% ±32 | 45% ±24 | 10% ±14 | 45% ±24 | 17 | 5% ±6 | 42% ±32 | 65% ±54 | 89% | 1.6d | 1.46% | 0.85% | 56 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 115,714.4 (+3.5%) | 2.1 | 11.8% | 5.9d | 3.2d ago · 71× | 41% ±34 | 35% ±23 | 15% ±17 | 50% ±24 | 17 | 17% ±10 | 39% ±32 | 68% ±53 | 71% | 1.5d | 0.99% | 0.85% | 52 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 114,356.34 (+2.3%) | 1.4 | 6.2% | 1.8d | 1.7d ago · 51× | 67% ±35 | 40% ±28 | 7% ±14 | 53% ±28 | 12 | 27% ±13 | 64% ±33 | 83% ±42 | 98% | 11h | 1.14% | 1.03% | 47 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 114,109.42–117,072.46 (+2.1%) | 1.3 | 5.7% | 1.8d | 2.0d ago · 79× | 59% ±26 | 44% ±21 | 8% ±11 | 48% ±21 | 22 | 39% ±10 | 58% ±26 | 82% ±34 | 91% ±41 | 10h | 1.14% | 1.15% | 86 → 2 | |
| at post · 111,803.8 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 110,652.54 (-1.0%) | 0.6 | 1.9% | 7h | 22.4d ago · 37× | 95% ±24 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 77% ±17 | 96% ±19 | 96% | 96% | 1h | — | — | 24 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.