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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-10-13 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,512 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0011), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 125,961.58 (+9.9%) | 13 | 0.2% | 51m | 3.7d ago · 89× | 7% ±10 | 52% ±19 | 6% ±9 | 42% ±18 | 28 | 1% ±2 | 7% ±10 | 18% ±27 | 40% ±48 | > 7d | 1.12% | 0.93% | 151 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 125,467.74 (+9.5%) | 13 | 0.6% | 3h | 3.3d ago · 67× | 3% ±6 | 50% ±22 | 5% ±9 | 45% ±22 | 19 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±6 | 8% ±15 | 30% ±37 | > 7d | 1.29% | 0.86% | 234 → 6 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 121,640.48 (+6.1%) | 8.2 | 3.3% | 1.1d | 3.2d ago · 117× | 2% ±6 | 47% ±17 | 14% ±12 | 39% ±17 | 32 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±6 | 20% ±30 | 64% ±54 | 6.2d | 1.13% | 0.75% | 126 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 121,517.02–122,504.7 (+6.0%) | 8.1 | 3.1% | 23h | 2.0d ago · 79× | 14% ±19 | 44% ±20 | 7% ±10 | 48% ±20 | 24 | 3% ±4 | 13% ±18 | 37% ±47 | 80% ±55 | 4.4d | 1.14% | 1.15% | 76 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 120,035.5 (+4.7%) | 6.4 | 1.6% | 11h | 7.8d ago · 38× | 11% ±12 | 29% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 64% ±28 | 11 | 1% ±2 | 11% ±11 | 29% ±28 | 43% ±48 | > 7d | 0.74% | 1.87% | 172 → 4 | |
| 30D POC | 115,467.48 (+0.8%) | 1.0 | 5.3% | 2.9d | 3.2d ago · 71× | 76% ±25 | 35% ±23 | 15% ±17 | 50% ±24 | 17 | 55% ±11 | 78% ±24 | 92% ±26 | 93% ±34 | 3h | 0.99% | 0.85% | 74 → 2 | |
| at post · 114,596.6 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 114,356.34 (-0.2%) | 0.3 | 3.9% | 1.1d | 2.0d ago · 57× | 80% ±35 | 32% ±23 | 11% ±15 | 58% ±24 | 16 | 66% ±16 | 83% ±30 | 89% ±44 | 94% | 2h | 0.62% | 1.69% | 33 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 113,121.74 (-1.3%) | 1.7 | 3.5% | 21h | 2.9d ago · 100× | 55% ±21 | 53% ±18 | 13% ±12 | 34% ±17 | 29 | 21% ±7 | 53% ±21 | 70% ±34 | 76% ±48 | 19h | 1.27% | 0.60% | 131 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 108,677.18 (-5.2%) | 6.9 | 0.7% | 2h | 22.4d ago · 37× | 11% ±12 | 23% ±26 | 8% ±17 | 69% ±29 | 10 | 2% ±2 | 11% ±12 | 21% ±27 | 33% ±46 | > 7d | 0.89% | 1.97% | 155 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | long | 114,596.6 | 121,640.48 | 112,356.29 | stop | -2.04% |