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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-10-20 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,512 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.42 to 0.09) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HVN zone | 121,517.02–122,751.62 (+9.7%) | 16 | 2.1% | 18h | 1.9d ago · 79× | 4% ±15 | 47% ±19 | 10% ±11 | 43% ±19 | 27 | 2% ±4 | 4% ±14 | 22% ±47 | 53% | 6.1d | 1.43% | 1.14% | 45 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 118,307.06 (+6.8%) | 11 | 0.6% | 4h | 7.7d ago · 38× | 1% ±3 | 29% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 64% ±28 | 11 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 8% ±13 | 23% ±31 | > 7d | 0.74% | 1.87% | 283 → 7 | |
| LVN zone | 116,084.78–117,319.38 (+4.8%) | 8.1 | 0.5% | 3h | 1.5d ago · 54× | 13% ±16 | 43% ±22 | 22% ±18 | 35% ±21 | 20 | 2% ±3 | 12% ±16 | 45% ±44 | 59% ±68 | 3.9d | 1.73% | 0.64% | 96 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 115,837.86 (+4.6%) | 7.7 | 0.8% | 12h | 3.2d ago · 67× | 14% ±11 | 50% ±22 | 5% ±9 | 45% ±22 | 19 | 1% ±1 | 14% ±11 | 28% ±25 | 42% ±43 | > 7d | 1.29% | 0.86% | 218 → 5 | |
| 7D VAH | 113,726.81 (+2.6%) | 4.5 | 2.1% | 12h | 3.5d ago · 89× | 23% ±14 | 52% ±19 | 6% ±9 | 42% ±18 | 28 | 4% ±2 | 23% ±14 | 51% ±28 | 56% ±43 | 2.9d | 1.12% | 0.93% | 223 → 5 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 111,516.76–111,763.68 (+0.7%) | 1.1 | 3.9% | 1.0d | 3.0d ago · 82× | 75% ±21 | 48% ±18 | 17% ±14 | 35% ±17 | 29 | 55% ±10 | 75% ±21 | 89% ±27 | 91% ±40 | 4h | 1.22% | 0.65% | 95 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 110,946.35 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 2.7% | 18h | 3.4d ago · 117× | 89% ±16 | 41% ±17 | 11% ±10 | 49% ±17 | 34 | 76% ±9 | 89% ±16 | 95% ±20 | 97% ±24 | 1h | 1.12% | 0.86% | 92 → 2 | |
| at post · 110,796.4 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 108,924.1–109,664.86 (-1.0%) | 1.7 | 1.8% | 17h | 3.1d ago · 98× | 66% ±23 | 54% ±16 | 20% ±13 | 27% ±14 | 38 | 25% ±9 | 66% ±23 | 80% ±35 | 80% ±56 | 11h | 0.97% | 0.69% | 95 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 106,806.55 (-3.6%) | 6.1 | 1.6% | 21h | 2.8d ago · 100× | 16% ±12 | 53% ±18 | 12% ±11 | 35% ±17 | 31 | 3% ±2 | 16% ±11 | 31% ±25 | 47% ±40 | > 7d | 1.27% | 1.01% | 237 → 6 | |
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 104,232.62–104,479.54 (-5.7%) | 9.7 | 0.4% | 44m | 1.9d ago · 57× | 6% ±7 | 28% ±20 | 8% ±12 | 64% ±22 | 19 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±7 | 13% ±18 | 26% ±35 | > 7d | 0.70% | 2.01% | 241 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 110,796.4 | 106,806.55 | 113,726.81 | expired | +1.86% |