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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-10-21 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,512 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0011), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.44 to 0.11) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HVN zone | 121,517.02–122,504.7 (+9.7%) | 11 | 3.0% | 1.1d | 1.7d ago · 79× | 11% ±17 | 48% ±19 | 10% ±11 | 42% ±18 | 28 | 1% ±2 | 11% ±16 | 27% ±39 | 63% ±67 | 5.7d | 1.49% | 1.15% | 81 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 117,319.38 (+5.9%) | 6.6 | 0.9% | 6h | 7.5d ago · 38× | 8% ±9 | 29% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 64% ±28 | 11 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±9 | 24% ±25 | 35% ±42 | > 7d | 0.74% | 1.87% | 194 → 5 | |
| LVN zone | 115,837.86–116,331.7 (+4.6%) | 5.1 | 0.7% | 4h | 1.3d ago · 54× | 33% ±27 | 43% ±22 | 22% ±18 | 35% ±21 | 20 | 7% ±6 | 33% ±27 | 57% ±49 | 70% ±64 | 2.0d | 1.73% | 0.64% | 72 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 115,562.04 (+4.4%) | 4.9 | 1.3% | 9h | 3.0d ago · 67× | 24% ±16 | 50% ±22 | 5% ±9 | 45% ±22 | 19 | 3% ±3 | 24% ±16 | 51% ±33 | 58% ±48 | 2.8d | 1.29% | 0.86% | 160 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 113,102.4 (+2.1%) | 2.4 | 5.0% | 1.4d | 3.4d ago · 89× | 45% ±20 | 52% ±19 | 6% ±9 | 42% ±18 | 28 | 12% ±6 | 45% ±20 | 61% ±34 | 64% ±54 | 1.4d | 1.12% | 0.93% | 135 → 3 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 110,956.05–111,763.68 (+0.2%) | 0.2 | 4.6% | 1.3d | 2.9d ago · 117× | 85% ±17 | 47% ±17 | 14% ±11 | 39% ±16 | 35 | 67% ±9 | 86% ±17 | 93% ±23 | 95% ±31 | 2h | 1.28% | 0.70% | 96 → 2 | |
| at post · 110,733 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 108,924.1–109,664.86 (-1.0%) | 1.1 | 2.9% | 1.3d | 2.9d ago · 98× | 85% ±16 | 55% ±16 | 19% ±12 | 26% ±14 | 39 | 57% ±9 | 85% ±16 | 91% ±23 | 91% ±32 | 2h | 0.98% | 0.69% | 113 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 106,726.94–107,134.5 (-3.2%) | 3.6 | 1.5% | 19h | 1.7d ago · 100× | 29% ±15 | 45% ±18 | 11% ±11 | 44% ±17 | 31 | 7% ±3 | 29% ±15 | 47% ±28 | 59% ±43 | 3.2d | 1.03% | 1.40% | 221 → 5 | |
| 30D VAL | 104,479.54 (-5.6%) | 6.3 | 0.6% | 1h | 22.1d ago · 37× | 11% ±12 | 21% ±24 | 7% ±15 | 71% ±27 | 11 | 3% ±3 | 11% ±11 | 28% ±28 | 44% ±49 | > 7d | 0.82% | 1.99% | 171 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 110,733 | 107,134.5 | 113,102.4 | target | +2.79% |
| 14d | POC | short | 110,733 | 106,726.94 | 115,562.04 | target | +2.79% |