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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-10-22 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,512 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0011), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.44 to 0.11) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 117,319.38 (+8.5%) | 9.4 | 0.9% | 6h | 7.5d ago · 38× | 2% ±4 | 29% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 64% ±28 | 11 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 10% ±14 | 23% ±31 | > 7d | 0.74% | 1.87% | 289 → 7 | |
| LVN zone | 115,837.86–116,331.7 (+7.1%) | 7.9 | 0.7% | 3h | 1.3d ago · 54× | 12% ±16 | 43% ±22 | 22% ±18 | 35% ±21 | 20 | 2% ±3 | 12% ±15 | 44% ±40 | 57% ±69 | 4.0d | 1.73% | 0.64% | 103 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 115,562.04 (+6.8%) | 7.6 | 1.2% | 7h | 3.0d ago · 67× | 14% ±11 | 50% ±22 | 5% ±9 | 45% ±22 | 19 | 1% ±1 | 14% ±11 | 29% ±26 | 42% ±43 | > 7d | 1.29% | 0.86% | 224 → 5 | |
| 30D POC | 111,763.68 (+3.3%) | 3.7 | 6.3% | 2.0d | 2.9d ago · 71× | 31% ±23 | 38% ±21 | 17% ±16 | 46% ±21 | 21 | 10% ±6 | 30% ±23 | 55% ±44 | 61% ±68 | 2.5d | 1.29% | 0.78% | 92 → 2 | |
| 14D POC | 111,144.49 (+2.7%) | 3.0 | 5.0% | 1.3d | 2.9d ago · 82× | 40% ±24 | 56% ±17 | 15% ±12 | 29% ±16 | 31 | 10% ±6 | 40% ±23 | 66% ±38 | 78% ±57 | 1.6d | 1.65% | 0.56% | 99 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 110,275.5 (+1.9%) | 2.2 | 2.6% | 16h | 3.4d ago · 89× | 54% ±22 | 53% ±18 | 6% ±9 | 41% ±18 | 29 | 19% ±7 | 54% ±22 | 67% ±35 | 70% ±52 | 20h | 1.19% | 0.91% | 121 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 108,924.1–109,664.86 (+0.7%) | 0.8 | 3.0% | 21h | 1.7d ago · 79× | 77% ±19 | 50% ±18 | 9% ±11 | 41% ±18 | 29 | 64% ±9 | 78% ±19 | 88% ±26 | 94% ±27 | 1h | 1.56% | 1.17% | 110 → 3 | |
| 7D POC | 108,233.85 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 3.2% | 21h | 3.2d ago · 117× | 90% ±15 | 41% ±16 | 10% ±10 | 49% ±16 | 36 | 76% ±9 | 90% ±15 | 95% ±20 | 97% ±24 | 1h | 1.21% | 0.86% | 91 → 2 | |
| at post · 108,177.4 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 107,406.57 (-0.7%) | 0.8 | 1.6% | 9h | 1.7d ago · 57× | 84% ±24 | 32% ±21 | 9% ±13 | 59% ±22 | 19 | 52% ±13 | 85% ±22 | 90% ±34 | 95% | 3h | 0.63% | 2.02% | 59 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAL | 104,479.54–104,517 (-3.4%) | 3.8 | 0.6% | 1h | 2.6d ago · 100× | 28% ±14 | 46% ±17 | 10% ±11 | 44% ±17 | 32 | 6% ±3 | 28% ±14 | 49% ±27 | 62% ±43 | 3.2d | 1.16% | 1.11% | 230 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 108,177.4 | 104,517 | 110,275.5 | stop | -1.87% |